for Saturday, 20 September 2014 [8:05 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (MARIO) UPDATE NUMBER 010
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday 20 September 2014
Next Update: 12:30 PM PhT (04:30 GMT) Saturday 20 September 2014
Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG (MARIO) has been almost stationary during the past 6 hours near the west coast of Ilocos Norte...likely to turn north towards Taiwan later.
This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with moderate to heavy rains along the western sections of Luzon including Metro Manila today...becoming heavy to extreme along Ilocos and Cordillera Administrative Regions. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Central and Northern Luzon, Southeastern China, and Taiwan. should closely monitor the development of Fung-Wong (Mario).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
- Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Ilocos Region, the western portions of Cordillera Administrative Region and Northwestern Cagayan. Read more...
- Heavy Rains (50-100 mm): National Capital Region, rest of Northern and Central Luzon, CaLaBaRZon incl. Polillo Islands. Read more...
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Northern Mindoro, Batangas including Lubang Island, Laguna and portion of Southern Quezon. Read more...
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Fung-Wong (Mario)
Location: Over the West Philippine Sea, just along the western coast of Ilocos Norte (near 18.7N 119.7E)
About: 110 km west-northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte...or 305 km southwest of Basco, Batanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near, west and west-southwest of the center): 50 to 400 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 770 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: Quasi Stationary
Forecast Movement: North-Northwest to North-Northeast @ 19 kph
Towards: Luzon Strait-Taiwan Area
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) is expected to begin moving north-northwest within the next 12 hours...turning to the north-northeast through 24 hours. On the forecast track, TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will be moving over the western part of the Luzon Strait today through this evening. By early Sunday morning, the cyclone will be approaching the southwestern coast of Taiwan and will be passing the western shoreline of Taiwan through Sunday evening.
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will slightly gain strength within the next 24 hours...and shall weaken through 72 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 85 kph by Sunday early morning.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies slightly...as it moves across the western part of Luzon Strait...approaching the southwestern coast of Taiwan...about 45 km southwest of Kaohsiung, Taiwan [2AM SEP 21: 22.3N 120.0E @ 85kph].
MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its strength while emerging over the East China Sea...about 180 km north-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2AM SEP 22: 26.7N 121.8E @ 85kph].
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Slows down as it continues to move north-northeastward over the East China Sea...about 130 km east-southeast of Ningbo, China [2AM SEP 23: 29.3N 122.8E @ 65kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:A0 PM PhT Sat Sep 20, 2014
Location of Center: Near 18.7º N Lat 119.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 120 km W of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 2: 145 km NNW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 3: 200 km WSW of Calayan Island
Distance 4: 215 km WNW of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 5: 440 km SSW of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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