for Sunday, 21 September 2014 [9:00 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM FUNG-WONG (MARIO) UPDATE NUMBER 014
Issued at: 8:15 AM PhT (00:15 GMT) Sunday 21 September 2014
Next Update: Sunday Afternoon, 21 September 2014
Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG (MARIO) continues to drift northerly towards Southern Taiwan...maintaining its strength.
This cyclone will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy and windy conditions with slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains along the western sections of Northern Luzon today. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially during the occurrence of severe thunderstorms. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon, Southeastern China and Taiwan. should closely monitor the development of Fung-Wong (Mario).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Northern La Union, Northern Benguet, Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte, Abra, western parts of Mt. Province-Kalinga-Apayao, portion of Northwestern Cagayan, and Batanes Group of Islands. Read more...
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Fung-Wong (Mario)
Location: Over the northwestern part of the Luzon Strait (near 21.5N 119.9E)
About: 130 km South-southwest of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan...or 245 km west-northwest of Basco, Batanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near, south and east of the center): 100 to 350 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 590 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: North-Northeast @ 11 kph
Forecast Movement: North-Northeast to Northeast @ 22 kph
Towards: Southern Taiwan
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) is expected to begin accelerating north-northeastward in the next few hours...and will turn to northeast later. The cyclone will shift its course to the north after the 24 hrs and immediately after turns to the north-northwest and northwest through 48 hours. On the forecast track, TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will be making landfall over Southern Taiwan before noon today...and will then traverse Taiwan...and exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by midnight...emerging over the East China Sea by early Monday. By Monday afternoon, the storm is forecast to make landfall in Southeastern China, over or very near Wenzhou City.
TS Fung-Wong (Mario) will weaken after crossing Taiwan...and shall further lose strength through 48 hours after making landfall over China. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 55 kph by Tuesday early morning.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens...as it emerges over the East China Sea...about 50 km northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2AM SEP 22: 25.5N 121.8E @ 75kph].
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Depression...over Zhejiang Province in China...about 175 km west-southwest of Ningbo City, China [2AM SEP 23: 29.2N 119.9E @ 55kph].
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipating over land...just an area of low pressure over Jiangsu Province in China...about 120 km northwest of Shanghai, China [2AM SEP 24: 32.1N 120.7E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sun Sep 20, 2014
Location of Center: Near 21.5º N Lat 119.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 210 km WNW of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 2: 335 km NNW of Pagudpod, Ilocos Norte
Distance 3: 435 km NNW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 4: 320 km SW of Hualien City, Taiwan
Distance 5: 425 km SW of Taipei, Taiwan
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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