Sunday, December 24, 2017

Typhoon TEMBIN (VINTA) Final Update


Typhoon TEMBIN (VINTA) Final Update





Issued at: 12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Sunday, 24 December 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Typhoon TEMBIN (VINTA) has been upgraded from a Severe Tropical Storm (STS)  after traversing the southern tip of Palawan and is already outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR). Its circulation has left Palawan and is just affecting the Kalayaan Island Group (KIG) located over the Spratlys.  Improving weather along these islands will be expected through the next 24 hours.

*This is the Final Update on this tropical cyclone.

24-hr Outlook: TY TEMBIN (VINTA) is expected to move west to west-northwest at a forward speed of 20 km/hr, approaching the shoreline of Southern Vietnam tomorrow morning, Christmas Day (Dec 25). The typhoon will start to slowly weaken for the next 24 hours.

The outer rainbands of TY TEMBIN (VINTA) will continue to bring moderate to at times heavy/extreme rains and thunderstorms across the Kalayaan Island Group today.

Where is TEMBIN (VINTA)?As of 11:00 AM PhT today, December 24…0300 GMT. The cloud-filled eye was located over the southern part of the South China Sea (near 8.2N 113.5E), about 613 km west-southwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan or 808 km east-southeast of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 130 kph near the center…Gustiness: 155 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving Westward @ 28 kph, towards Southern Vietnam.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Moderate to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected):
>> Kalayaan Island Group – Today.

Damaging Winds (gusts of 100 km/hr or more expected):
>> Kalayaan Island Group  – Today.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: Kalayaan Island Group – Today.

+Large and dangerous battering waves with inundation can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes, and beach front areas of the above areas.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

MONDAY MORNING: Weakens slowly as it moves west to west-northwestward across the southern part of the South China Sea, approaching the coastline of Southern Vietnam…about 1,023 km west of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan [8AM Dec 25: 8.4N 109.6E @ 130kph]Confidence LevelHIGH.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day.. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 967 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 765 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 100 km from the center

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Sun December 24, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 8.2º N Lat 113.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 964 km W of Lamitan City, Basilan
Distance 2: 1016 km WSW of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro
Distance 3: 1033 km WSW of Iloilo City, Iloilo
Distance 4: 1046 km SW of Tagaytay City, Cavite
Distance 5: 1087 km SW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V.. Padua for WeatherPhilippines



Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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