Sunday, December 24, 2017

Severe Tropical Storm TEMBIN (VINTA) Update No. 12


Severe Tropical Storm TEMBIN (VINTA) Update No. 12


Issued at: 12:10 AM PhT (16:10 GMT) Sunday, 24 December 2017
Next update: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Sunday, 24 December 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Severe Tropical Storm TEMBIN (VINTA) has slightly intensified as it moves westward at an accelerated speed of 37 km/hr over the southwestern coast of Balabac, Palawan. Its rainbands are currently affecting Palawan and Kalayaan Island Group. 

24-hr Outlook: STS TEMBIN (VINTA) is expected to intensify into a Typhoon (TY) as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Sunday morning (Dec 24) between 8-9 am. It will continue to move west-northwestward over the West Philippine Sea at a forward speed of 24 km/hr.

STS TEMBIN (VINTA) will continue to bring moderate to at times heavy/extreme rains and thunderstorms across Palawan and Kalayaan Island Group.

Where is TEMBIN (VINTA)?As of 11:00 PM PhT today, December 23…1500 GMT. The center was located over the southwestern coast of Balabac, Palawan (near 7.7N 116.7E), about 47 km southwest of Balabac, Palawan or 341 km southwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 110 kph near the center…Gustiness: 140 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving Westward @ 37 kph, towards West Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Moderate to Extreme Rains (50 to more than 100 mm expected):
>> Kalayaan Island Group and Central and Southern Palawan – Today through Sunday evening (Dec 24).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> Southernmost part of Palawan – beginning tonight through Sunday early morning (Dec 24).

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: Southern Palawan – beginning tonight through Sunday early morning (Dec 24).

+Large and dangerous battering waves with inundation can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes, and beach front areas of the above areas.

1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SUNDAY EVENING: Intensifies into a Typhoon (TY) as it moves across the West Philippine Sea, already outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…about 721 km west of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan [8PM Dec 24: 8.9N 112.3E @ 140kph]Confidence LevelMEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time..

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 500 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 978 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 720 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 80 km from the center

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Sat December 23, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 7.7º N Lat 116.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 616 km SW of Coron, Palawan
Distance 2: 704 km WSW of Bayawan City, Negros Oriental
Distance 3: 717 km WSW of Tanjay City, Negros Oriental
Distance 4: 726 km WSW of Iloilo City, Iloilo
Distance 5: 900 km SSW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: John Christian B. Lequiron for WeatherPhilippines


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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