Wednesday, October 25, 2017

Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) Update No. 01


Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) Update No. 01





Issued at: 6:45 PM PhT (10:45 GMT) Wednesday 25 October 2017
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Thursday, 26 October 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm SAOLA (QUEDAN) entering the eastern border of the Philippine Area of  Responsibility (PAR) while slowing down on a north-northwest track across the northeasternmost part of the Central Philippine Sea.

24-hr Outlook: TS SAOLA (QUEDAN) is expected to move northwest across the southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea at a forward speed of 22 kph, and will further intensify.

*Based on its current and forecast track, this storm will not affect any part of the country.

Where is SAOLA (QUEDAN)?As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 25…0900 GMT.  The center was located along the PAR line or over the northeasternmost part of the Central Philippine Sea (near 15.8N 135.0E), about 1,133 km east-northeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar or 1,223 km east-northeast of Sorsogon City, Sorsogon.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center…Gustiness: 95 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving North-Northwest @ 21 kph, towards Southeastern Part of the North Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
3-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Strengthens slightly as it tracks northwestward across the southeastern part of the North Philippine Sea…about 1,025 km east-northeast of Palanan, Isabela [2PM Oct 26: 18.8N 131.9E @ 85kph].  Confidence Level: LOW.

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) as it moves NW to NNW across the middle part of the North Philippine Sea…about 765 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM Oct 27: 22.4N 129.1E @ 95kph].  Confidence LevelLOW.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Exits the PAR as it becomes a Typhoon while in the vicinity of Okinawa, Japan…about 677 km east-northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM Oct 28: 26.6N 128.1E @ 120kph].  Confidence Level: LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 400 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 705 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed October 25, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 15.8º N Lat 135.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 1182 km ENE of Catbalogan City, Samar
Distance 2: 1197 km ENE of Tacloban City, Leyte
Distance 3: 1238 km ENE of Baybay City, Leyte
Distance 4: 1247 km ENE of Legazpi City, Albay
Distance 5: 1502 km E of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines



Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)

Have you tried the highest rated email app?
With 4.5 stars in iTunes, the Yahoo Mail app is the highest rated email app on the market. What are you waiting for? Now you can access all your inboxes (Gmail, Outlook, AOL and more) in one place. Never delete an email again with 1000GB of free cloud storage.



No comments: