Friday, October 13, 2017

Tropical Storm KHANUN (ODETTE) Update Number 007


Tropical Storm KHANUN (ODETTE) Update Number 007


Issued at: 6:15 PM PhT (10:15 GMT) Friday 13 October 2017
Next update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Saturday, 14 October 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm KHANUN (ODETTE) has slightly intensified as it accelerated west-southwestward across the West Philippine Sea in the past 6 hours. Its broad rainbands along with the enhanced southwesterly windflow will continue to bring moderate to at times heavy rains across Extreme Northern Luzon, Northern Luzon, Western sections Central Luzon, Mindoro, Palawan, and Western Visayas.

It is expected to intensify into a Typhoon (TY) as it slowly moves west-northwestward in the next 24 hours at a speed of 11 km/hr. It will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow morning or early afternoon (Oct 14). 

*Residents within the circulation of this tropical cyclone are advised to take precautionary measures and be on full alert against flash floods, landslides and swollen river banks.

Where is KHANUN (ODETTE)?As of 5:00 PM PhT, October 13…0900 GMT.  The center was located along the West Philippine Sea (near 17.5N 118.5E), about 200 km west of Vigan  City, Ilocos Sur or 222 km west-northwest of San Fernando  City, La Union
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center…Gustiness: 100 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving West-Southwest @ 25 kph, towards West Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 to 100 mm expected):
>> Extreme Northern Luzon, Northern Luzon, Western sections of Central Luzon, Mindoro, Palawan, and Western Visayas – tonight through Saturday afternoon (Oct 14).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
2-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a Typhoon (TY) after it exited the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…about 416 km west of Vigan  City, Ilocos Sur [2PM Oct 14: 18.1N 116.5E @ 120kph].  Confidence Level: HIGH.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Moves towards Southern China as a Typhoon (TY), already outside of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)…about 391 km south-southwest of Hong Kong, China [2PM Oct 15: 19.1N 112.8E @ 130kph].  Confidence LevelHIGH.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 350 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)

> Tropical Cyclone Size (in diameter): 855 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 05:00 PM PhT Fri October 13, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 17.5º N Lat 118.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 254 km NW of Dagupan City, Pangasinan
Distance 2: 263 km NW of San Carlos City, Pangasinan
Distance 3: 278 km NW of Urdaneta City, Pangasinan
Distance 4: 317 km NW of Tarlac City, Tarlac
Distance 5: 425 km NW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: John Christian B. Lequiron for WeatherPhilippines


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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