Saturday, October 21, 2017

Super Typhoon LAN (PAOLO) Final Update


Super Typhoon LAN (PAOLO) Final Update





Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Saturday 21 October 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Super Typhoon LAN (PAOLO) a little weaker as it accelerates north-northeastward…will leave the northeastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on or before midnight tonight.

24-hr Outlook: STY LAN (PAOLO) is forecast to continue its weakening trend and will move rapidly north-northeastward at an increased speed of 37 kph, in the general direction of  Southern Japan.

*With this development, this will be the last update on STY LAN (PAOLO).

Where is LAN (PAOLO)?As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 21…0900 GMT.  The 50-km large eye was located over the northeastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 23.1N 132.3E), about 1,102 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes or 1,111 km east of Taipei, Taiwan.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 225 kph near the center…Gustiness: 275 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving North-Northeast @ 26 kph, towards the Sea south of Japan.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: None.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected):
>> None.

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens to just below Super Typhoon classification while outside PAR. Moving very quickly towards Southern Japan…about 1,269 km east of Shanghai, China [2PM Oct 22: 29.7N 134.6E @ 200kph].  Confidence LevelHIGH.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 320 mm [Light to Extreme]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 926 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,145 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 130 km from center.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sat October 21, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 23.1º N Lat 132.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 1172 km ENE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 2: 1198 km ENE of Calayan Island, Cagayan
Distance 3: 1230 km E of Kaohsiung City, Taiwan
Distance 4: 1259 km ENE of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1515 km NE of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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