Thursday, October 19, 2017

Tropical Depression 26W Final Update


Tropical Depression 26W Final Update


Issued at: 6:30 PM PhT (10:30 GMT) Thursday 19 October 2017
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Depression (TD) 26W has maintained its intensity as it moves northeastward over the West Philippine Sea in the past 6 hours. Its thick and broad rainbands are currently affecting Palawan. 

TD 26W is expected to weaken into a Low Pressure Area (LPA) as it accelerates east-northeastward, passing and making landfall over Northern Palawan later tonight (Oct 19) at a forward speed of 29 kph. 

*Residents along the path of this tropical cyclone should take precautionary measures against flash floods, overflowing rivers and landslides.

*This is the Final Update on this Tropical Cyclone.

Meanwhile, the combined effects of Typhoon LAN (PAOLO), Monsoon Trough, Southwesterly Windflow, and Tropical Depression 26W will continue to bring moderate to at times extreme rain showers and thunderstorms over Palawan, Western Visayas, and Eastern sections of Bicol Region.

Where is 26W?As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 19…0900 GMT.  The center was located over the southern part of the West Philippine Sea (near 11.2N 118.2E), about 151 km north-northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan or 403 km southwest of Calapan City, Oriental Mindoro.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 45 kph near the center…Gustiness: 65 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)It was moving Northeast @ 18 kph, towards Northern Palawan-Cuyo Area.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s):: Along the Northern Palawan at approx. 9-10pm tonight, with a Medium Strike Prbobability of 50-65%.
What Philippine areas will be most affected?Moderate to Heavy Rains (50 to 100 mm expected):
>> Most parts of Palawan and Sulu Archipelago – Today through Friday afternoon (Oct 20).

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens into a Low Pressure Area (LPA) after it passes over Northern Palawan, Mindoro, and Romblon…about 14 km south of Iriga City, Camarines Sur [2PM Oct 20: 13.3N 123.4E @ 30kph].  Confidence Level: LOW.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 300 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 305 km (Very Small/Midget)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional DistancesTime/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Thu October 19, 2017
Location of Center/Eye: Near 11.2º N Lat 118.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 441 km SW of Tagaytay City, Cavite
Distance 2: 448 km SW of Trece Martires City, Cavite
Distance 3: 459 km SW of Calamba City, Laguna
Distance 4: 463 km SSW of Olongapo  City, Zambales
Distance 5: 487 km SW of Metro Manila

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: John Christian B. Lequiron for WeatherPhilippines



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