for Saturday, 15 October 2011 [6:49 AM PhT]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Tuesday Oct 11 2011):
Currently issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on BANYAN (RAMON).
BANYAN (RAMON) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): -- km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BANYAN [RAMON/23W/1120]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 016
5:00 AM PhT (21:00 GMT) Sat 15 October 2011
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Final Warning #020/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2011)
Tropical Depression BANYAN (RAMON) decaying as it slows down while over the West Philippine Sea.
Residents and visitors along Hainan & Vietnam should closely monitor the progress of BANYAN (RAMON).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.
CURRENT STORM INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat October 15 2011
Location of Center: 19.6º N Lat 116.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 403 km SE of Hong Kong
Distance 2: 448 km SE of Macau
Distance 3: 419 km WNW of Laoag City
Distance 4: 542 km WSW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 485 km SW of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 6: 673 km ENE of Qionghai, Hainan
Distance 7: 1000 km ENE of Da Nang, Vietnam
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: North @ 11 kph (06 kts)
Towards: West Philippine Sea
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): 25 mm (Low)
Rainrate (near center): 15-20 mm/hr (Mod)
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm) [Average]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 13 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Final Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM HKT Sat Oct 15
1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*
BANYAN (RAMON) is expected to move WNW-ward during the next 12 hrs...with a sudden Westerly turn through 24 hours. A decrease on its forward speed is likely during the next 24 hours.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remain near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. BANYAN (RAMON) is a weak Tropical Depression (TD) on the Saffir-Simpson Tropical Cyclone Scale...and is likely to dissipate over the unfavourable environment of the West Philippine Sea in 24 hours.
The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens into an area of low pressure...decaying along the West Philippine Sea [2AM OCT 16: 19.8N 116.4E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:
DISSIPATING RAINBANDS - over water (West Philippine Sea)...not affecting any land mass. Tropical Depression Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (25-61 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 10 mm (low rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 11 to 25 mm (low) along areas near the center of BANYAN (RAMON). (click to open NOAA's eTRaP graphic).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
External Links for TD BANYAN (RAMON)
PAGASA@Twitter: Hourly Updates
View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp2311.gif
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: Near Real-Time
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 1 day Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD BANYAN (RAMON)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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