Bushman's Typhoon Blog: TD 05W [UNNAMED]

for Monday, 11 June 2012 [1:00 PM PhT]

Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Monday June 11 2012):

Now issuing 6-hrly web, email, & iTyphoon app updates (except 12:00 Midnight) on 05W (UNNAMED).

05W MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): --- km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): --- km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): --- km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): --- km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): --- km/hr
:: Click here to see Multi-Agency Forecast Tracks

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 001
11:00 AM PhT (03:00 GMT) Mon 11 June 2012
Source: T2K Analysis/JTWC TC Warning #001/SatFixes
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2012)

The strong but small Tropical Disturbance (LPA) near Chuuk Island has strengthened into Tropical Depression 05W (UNNAMED)...heading WNW in the direction of Yap State.

Residents and visitors along Yap, Ulithi, Palau and the rest of Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 05W (UNNAMED).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

CURRENT STORM INFORMATION

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Mon June 11 2012
Location of Center: 8.6º N Lat 146.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 552 km SSE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 884 km ESE of Yap, FSM
Distance 3: 1,220 km East of P.A.R.
Distance 4: 1,285 km ENE of Koror, Palau
Distance 5: 2,176 km East of Northern Mindanao
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph (25 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph (35 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 19 kph (10 kts)
Towards: Yap-Ulithi Area
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: TD
Size (in Diameter): --- km (--- nm) [N/A]
Wind Area Distribution (in Knots): Current Wind Profile
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft [0 m]
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PhT Mon June 11

3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK & ANALYSIS*

05W is expected to move generally WNW-ward for the next 3 days. On the forecast track, the core of 05W will pass just to the north of Yap and Ulithi Islands on Wednesday evening.

Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are near 45 km/hr (25 knots) with higher gusts. 05W will continue to intensify becoming a Tropical Storm (TS) on Wednesday, and eventually into a Typhoon (TY) on Thursday.

The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:

TUESDAY MORNING: Gaining strength...becomes a TS while passing in between Guam and Yap Islands [8AM JUN 12: 9.7N 143.2E @ 85kph].
WEDNESDAY MORNING: Bears down Yap and Ulithi Island...maintains its WNW track as it nears typhoon status [8AM JUN 13: 10.7N 139.9E @ 100kph].
THURSDAY MORNING: Approaching the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...strengthens into a Category 1 Typhoon...about 1,240 km East of Samar, Philippines [8AM JUN 14: 11.9N 136.9E @ 120kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY

Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas:

DEVELOPING RAINBANDS - over water (Western Pacific Ocean)...not affecting any land areas. Cloudy/Rainy Conditions w/ moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands).

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects-hazards, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!

External Links for TD 05W (UNNAMED)

View NOAA-CIRA's: Latest Full Wind Analysis
JTWC Latest Tracking Chart: wp0512.gif
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5 Days Ahead
JAXA TRMM Page: Latest Rainrate (in mm/hr)
NASA TRMM Page: 05W's Rainrate Archives (in mm/hr)
Zoomed Satellite Pic: NOAA's Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE IMAGE:

__________________________________________________________________________________________________

CURRENT WUNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

_____________________________________________________________________________

NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 05W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm