Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 003

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 003

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM KOPPU (LANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Thursday 15 October 2015
Next Update: Thursday Evening, 15 October 2015

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) has slightly intensified during the past 12 hours as it continues to traverse the warm waters of the Philippine Sea. It is currently moving generally westward across the mid-eastern part of the Philippine Sea.

KOPPU (LANDO) will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) bringing occasional rain showers with some thunderstorms across the Northern and Eastern Sections of Luzon incl. Bicol and Quezon Provinces today and through the next 24 hours. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Luzon should closely monitor the development of TS KOPPU (LANDO).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

None for the next 24 hours.

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, October 15...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS KOPPU (LANDO)
Location: Over the mid-eastern part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.6N 132.3E)
About: 889 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 1,093 km east of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (southwest of the center): 100 to 500 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 580 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds 100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Past Movement: West-Southwest to West-Northwest @ 16 kph
Forecast Movement: West to West-Northwest @ 21 kph
Towards: Central Philippine Sea

2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TS KOPPU (LANDO) will continue to move in a generally westward track throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, KOPPU (LANDO) shall traverse the central part of the Philippine Sea during the next 24 hours and shall proceed through the western part on the remainder of the forecast period.

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is forecast to intensify into a Typhoon within the next 24 hours while moving over the warm waters of the Philippine Sea and shall continue to gain strength through the end of the outlook period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds strengthening to 160 kph on Saturday early morning (Oct 17).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies into a Typhoon as it turns slightly to the west-northwest...about 651 km east of Casiguran, Aurora [5AM OCT 16: 16.1N 128.1E @ 120kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Gains more strength as it moves generally westward...towards the western part of the Philippine Sea...about 342 km east of Casiguran, Aurora [5AM OCT 17: 16.2N 125.2E @ 160kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to intensify as it approaches the Coast of Isabela in a west to west-northwest track...about 82 km east-northeast of Casiguran, Aurora [5AM OCT 18: 16.5N 122.7E @ 195kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu Oct 15, 2015
Location of Center: Near 15.6º N Lat 132.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 886 km ENE of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 964 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 3: 1004 km ENE of Naga City, CamSur
Distance 4: 1068 km ESE of Palanan, Isabela
Distance 5: 1219 km ENE of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph