Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 002

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 002

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM KOPPU (LANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Wednesday 14 October 2015
Next Update: Thursday Morning, 15 October 2015

Tropical Storm KOPPU (24W) has maintained its strength as it entered the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this afternoon...currently moving westward across the mid-eastern part of the Philippine Sea. KOPPU is now locally named as "LANDO."

KOPPU will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) bringing occasional rain showers with some thunderstorms across the Northern and Eastern Sections of Luzon incl. Bicol and Quezon Provinces today and through the next 24 hours. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides especially during heavy downpour.

Residents and visitors along Luzon should closely monitor the development of TS KOPPU (LANDO).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

None for the next 48 hours.

CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 14...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS KOPPU (LANDO)
Location: Off the mid-eastern part of the Philippine Sea (near 15.6N 134.1E)
About: 1,088 km east-northeast of Virac, Catanduanes...or 1,285 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (southwest of the center): 100 to 500 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 993 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 555 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds 100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Past Movement: West @ 21 kph
Forecast Movement: West @ 21 kph
Towards: Philippine Sea

2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TS KOPPU (LANDO) will continue to move in a generally westward track for the next 24 hours...turning slightly west-northwestward for the remainder of the outlook period. On the forecast track, KOPPU (LANDO) shall traverse the central part of the Philippine Sea during the forecast period.

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is forecast to intensify during the next 48 hours while moving over the warm waters of the Philippine Sea...becoming a Typhoon by late Thursday. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds strengthening to 150 kph on Friday afternoon (Oct 16).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies as it moves over the eastern part of the Philippine Sea...about 847 km east-southeast of Casiguran, Aurora [2PM OCT 15: 15.6N 130.0E @ 110kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a Typhoon as it turns west-northwest over the central part of the Philippine Sea...about 480 km east of Casiguran, Aurora [2PM OCT 16: 16.3N 126.6E @ 150kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to intensify as it approaches the Coast of Isabela in a west-northwest track...about 205 km east-southeast of Palanan, Isabela [2PM OCT 17: 16.7N 124.3E @ 200kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Oct 14, 2015
Location of Center: Near 15.6º N Lat 134.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 1077 km ENE of Pandan, Catanduanes
Distance 2: 1154 km ENE of Legazpi City
Distance 3: 1193 km ENE of Naga City, CamSur
Distance 4: 1,258 km ESE of Palanan, Isabela
Distance 5: 1400 km ENE of Metro Manila

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph