Thursday, October 22, 2015

Tropical Depression KOPPU (LANDO) Final Update

 

Tropical Depression KOPPU (LANDO) Final Update

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KOPPU (LANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 023 [FINAL]
Issued at: 6:45 PM PhT (10:45 GMT) Wednesday 21 October 2015

KOPPU [LANDO] has weakened into a Tropical Depression while over the Balintang Channel...forecast to weaken further and shall dissipate due to entrainment of cold air from the surge of the Northeast Monsoon. Its associated cloudiness will continue to bring light to moderate rains across Extreme Northern Luzon particularly Calayan and Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte and the Batanes Group.

*This is the last and final update on TD Koppu (Lando).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

Already lifted.


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 21...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TD KOPPU (LANDO)
Location: Over the eastern part of the Balintang Channel...(near 19.3N 122.8E)
About: 136 km east of Calayan Island, Cagayan...or 109 km northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 45 kph near the center...Gustiness: 65 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (southwest of the center): 25 to 100 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 565 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Past Movement: East-Northeast @ 12 kph
Forecast Movement: Northeast @ 10 kph
Towards: Balintang Channel-North Philippine Sea


1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TD KOPPU (LANDO) is expected to move east-northeast to northeastward slowly throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, KOPPU (LANDO) shall traverse the eastern portions of the Balintang and Bashi Channel tonight through Thursday afternoon (Oct 22).

TD KOPPU (LANDO) is forecast to continue dissipating and decaying into an area of low pressure by Thursday afternoon (Oct 22)

The following is the 1-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to decay and weaken as it turns east-northeast to northeastward across the border of the Bashi Channel and North Philippine Sea...about 213 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM OCT 22: 20.8N 124.0E @ 35kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Oct 21, 2015
Location of Center: Near 19.3º N Lat 122.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 153 km NE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 148 km SE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 228 km ENE of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 4: 197 km SE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 5: 539 km NNE of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 08:28 0 comments

Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 022

 

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 022

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM KOPPU (LANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 022
Issued at: 8:15 AM PhT (00:15 GMT) Wednesday 21 October 2015
Next Update: Wednesday Evening, 21 October 2015

KOPPU [LANDO] just barely a Tropical Storm as it continues to weaken and decay over the Balintang Channel while drifting slowly eastward. Its dissipating rains plus gusty winds will continue to be experienced across Extreme Coastal areas of Northern Luzon particularly Calayan and Babuyan Islands and Ilocos Norte.

Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon and Taiwan should closely monitor the development of TS KOPPU (LANDO).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Ilocos Norte and portions of Northwestern Cagyan - Today through Thursday morning (Oct 22).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Northern Ilocos Sur, Western Kalinga, Abra, and Western Mountain Province - Today through Thursday morning (Oct 22).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, October 21...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS KOPPU (LANDO)
Location: Over the central part of the Balintang Channel...(near 19.3N 121.8E)
About: 31 km east of Calayan Island, Cagayan...or 98 km north-northwest of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center...Gustiness: 85 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (southwest of the center): 25 to 100 mm [Moderate to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 565 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Past Movement: East @ 10 kph
Forecast Movement: East-Northeast @ 04 kph
Towards: North Philippine Sea


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is expected to move slowly east-northeastward slowly for the next 24 hours...returning back to northeastward throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, KOPPU (LANDO) shall traverse the eastern portion of the Balintang Channel today through early Thursday morning (Oct 22)...and shall move across the North Philippine Sea, farther away from Extreme Northern Luzon on Friday (Oct 23).

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is forecast to continue dissipating over the open seas within the next 24 hours...becoming just a weak Tropical Depression (TD) by early Thursday morning...and decaying into an area of low pressure on Friday early morning (Oct 23). The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds weakening to 55 kph on Thursday early morning (Oct 22) and weakening to LPA strength of just 35 kph by early Friday morning (Oct 23).

The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to decay and weaken as it turns east-northeastward across the eastern part of the Balintang Channel...about 128 km south-southeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM OCT 22: 19.5N 122.6E @ 55kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Dissipating into an area of remnant low pressure over the North Philippine Sea...about 209 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM OCT 23: 20.7N 124.0E @ 35kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed Oct 21, 2015
Location of Center: Near 19.3º N Lat 121.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 101 km NNE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 135 km S of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 138 km ENE of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Distance 4: 167 km S of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 5: 539 km NNE of Metro Manila

WPF OBSERVED 1-HR WIND GUSTS and 24HR. RAINFALL ACCUMULATION (near the path of Koppu) [As of 8:00 AM Oct 21, 2015]:

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 10:33 0 comments

Tuesday, October 20, 2015

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 021

 

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 021

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM KOPPU (LANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 021
Issued at: 7:30 PM PhT (11:30 GMT) Tuesday 20 October 2015
Next Update: Wednesday Morning, 21 October 2015

Tropical Storm (TS) KOPPU [LANDO] has continued losing strength over the past 6 hours...decaying further while over the Balintang Channel. . Decaying rains plus gusty winds will continue to be experienced across the northwestern section of Northern Luzon especially Ilocos Norte.

Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon and Taiwan should closely monitor the development of TS KOPPU (LANDO).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Ilocos Sur, Abra and Ilocos Norte - Today through Wednesday morning (Oct 21).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): La Union, Western Benguet, Westernmost part of Mt. Province, Western Kalinga, Western Apayao and Northwesternmost part of Cagayan - Today through Wednesday morning (Oct 21).

WINDS
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Coastal areas of Ilocos Norte - Until Tonight (Oct 20).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, October 20...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS KOPPU (LANDO)
Location: Over the western part of the Balintang Channel...(near 19.3N 120.8E)
About: 73 km west of Calayan Island, Cagayan...or 89 km north of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 75 kph near the center...Gustiness: 95 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (southwest of the center): 50 to 300 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 565 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Past Movement: Northeast @ 11 kph
Forecast Movement: East-Northeast @ 08 kph
Towards: Babuyan-Balintang Channel


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is expected to move east-northeastward slowly for the next 24 hours...returning back to northeastward throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, KOPPU (LANDO) shall traverse the Babuyan-Balintang Channel tonight through Wednesday morning (Oct 21)...and shall move across the North Philippine Sea, farther away from Extreme Northern Luzon on Thursday (Oct 22).

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is forecast to weaken in 24 hours...and maintaining as a minimal TS through the remainder of the outlook period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds weakening to 65 kph on Wednesday afternoon (Oct 21) and maintaining its intesity by Thursday afternoon (Oct 22).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Continues to decay and weaken as it turns east-northeastward across the Balintang Channel...about 113 km south-southeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM OCT 21: 19.6N 122.5E @ 65kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Maintains its strength as it tracks back to the northeast across the eastern part of the Bashi Channel...about 198 km east of Basco, Batanes [2PM OCT 22: 20.4N 123.9E @ 65kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Decaying further as it downgrades into a Tropical Depression (TD)...traversing across the North Philippine Sea...about 278 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2PM OCT 23: 21.1N 124.6E @ 55kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue Oct 20, 2015
Location of Center: Near 19.3º N Lat 120.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 124 km NNE of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte
Distance 2: 138 km NW of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 176 km SW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 197 km SSW of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 5: 523 km NNW of Metro Manila

WPF OBSERVED 1-HR WIND GUSTS and 24HR. RAINFALL ACCUMULATION [near the path of Koppu]

As of 8:00 PM October 20, 2015:

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 23:25 0 comments

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 020

 

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 020

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM KOPPU (LANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 020
Issued at: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Tuesday 20 October 2015
Next Update: Tuesday Evening, 20 October 2015

Tropical Storm (TS) KOPPU [LANDO] has remained almost stationary for the past six hours as it further loses strength...right off the northwestern coast of Ilocos Norte. Rains and gusty winds will continue to be experienced across the northwestern section of Northern Luzon especially Ilocos Norte.

Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon and Taiwan should closely monitor the development of TS KOPPU (LANDO).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Ilocos Sur, Abra and Ilocos Norte - Today through Wednesday morning (Oct 21).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): La Union, Western Benguet, Westernmost part of Mt. Province, Western Kalinga, Western Apayao and Northwesternmost part of Cagayan - Today through Wednesday morning (Oct 21).

WINDS
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Coastal areas of Ilocos Norte - Today until late this evening (Oct 20).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 AM PhT today, October 20...0300 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS KOPPU (LANDO)
Location: Off the northwestern shores of Ilocos Norte...(near 18.8N 120.4E)
About: 70 km north-northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte...or 54 km west-northwest of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 110 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (southwest of the center): 50 to 300 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 565 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Past Movement: Almost Stationary
Forecast Movement: Northeast @ 04 kph
Towards: Babuyan-Balintang Channel


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is expected to move northeastward with a slow speed throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, KOPPU (LANDO) shall traverse the Babuyan-Balintang Channel today through Thursday (Oct 22).

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is forecast to weaken further after the next 24 hours. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds weakening to 75 kph on Thursday morning (Oct 22).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

WEDNESDAY MORNING: Maintains its strength as it turns northeast with slow speed towards Babuyan-Balintang Channel...about 43 km southwest of Calayan, Cagayan [8AM OCT 21: 19.2N 121.1E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
THURSDAY MORNING: Weakens as it continues to track northeastward slowly across the central part of the Balintang Channel...about 89 km south of Basco, Batanes [8AM OCT 22: 19.7N 122.0E @ 75kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.
FRIDAY MORNING: Bears the same strength and turns north-northeast...traversing the Batanes Group of Islands towards Bashi Channel...about 106 km northeast of Itbayat, Batanes [8AM OCT 23: 21.5N 122.5E @ 75kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Tue Oct 20, 2015
Location of Center: Near 18.8º N Lat 120.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 133 km N of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 2: 245 km N of San Fernando City, La Union
Distance 3: 128 km WSW of Calayan Is., Cagayan
Distance 4: 253 km SSW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 482 km NNW of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 23:24 0 comments

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 019

 

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 019

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM KOPPU (LANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 019
Issued at: 7:30 AM PhT (23:30 GMT) Tuesday 20 October 2015
Next Update: Tuesday Afternoon, 20 October 2015

Tropical Storm (TS) KOPPU [LANDO] weakened further as it drifts northward...off the northwestern coast of Ilocos Norte. Rains and gusty winds will continue to be experienced across the western section of Northern Luzon especially Ilocos Region.

Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon and Taiwan should closely monitor the development of TS KOPPU (LANDO).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Ilocos Sur, Abra and Ilocos Norte - Today through Wednesday morning (Oct 21) .
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): La Union, Western Benguet, Westernmost part of Mt. Province, Western Kalinga, Western Apayao and Northwesternmost part of Cagayan - Today through Wednesday morning (Oct 21).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Pangasinan, Eastern Benguet, Western Ifugao, Mid part of Mt. Province, Eastern Kalinga and Eastern Apayao - Today through Wednesday morning (Oct 21).

WINDS
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): Ilocos Norte - Today until this evening (Oct 20).
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Northernmost part of Ilocos Sur, Western Abra, Western Apayao and Northwesternmost part of Cagayan - Today until this evening (Oct 20).

STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 6 m (3 to 20 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Ilocos Norte - Today until Wednesday morning (Oct 21)


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 AM PhT today, October 20...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS KOPPU (LANDO)
Location: Off the northwestern shores of Ilocos Norte...(near 18.8N 120.3E)
About: 74 km northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte...or 62 km west-northwest of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 95 kph near the center...Gustiness: 120 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (west of the center): 100 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 982 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 580 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None
Past Movement: North @ 09 kph
Forecast Movement: Northeast @ 04 kph
Towards: Balintang Channel


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is expected to turn northeast during the outlook period. On the forecast track, KOPPU (LANDO) shall traverse Babuyan-Balintang Channel today through Thursday (Oct 22).

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is forecast to weaken further within the next 24 to 48 hours. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds weakening to 85 kph on Wednesday early morning (Oct 21)...remaining with that intensity through 48 hours.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Weakens slightly as it turns northeast towards Babuyan-Balintang Channel...about 54 km west-southwest of Calayan, Ilocos Cagayan [2AM OCT 21: 19.2N 121.0E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains strength as it continues to track northeastward across the central part of the Balintang Channel...about 89 km south of Basco, Batanes [2AM OCT 22: 19.7N 121.9E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Bearing the same strength as it turns north...traversing the Batanes Group of Islands towards Bashi Channel...about 89 km north-northeast of Itbayat, Batanes [2AM OCT 23: 21.5N 122.2E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue Oct 20, 2015
Location of Center: Near 18.8º N Lat 120.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 134 km NNW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 2: 245 km N of San Fernando City, La Union
Distance 3: 138 km WSW of Calayan Is., Cagayan
Distance 4: 252 km SSW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 484 km NNW of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 23:23 0 comments

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 018

 

Tropical Storm KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 018
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM KOPPU (LANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 018
Issued at: 3:15 AM PhT (07:15 GMT) Tuesday 20 October 2015
Next Update: Tuesday Mid-Morning, 20 October 2015

Tropical Storm (TS) KOPPU [LANDO] still weakening as it drifted northeastward closer to the shoreline of Ilocos Norte. Strong winds with light to moderate rains will continue to prevail across Western Luzon especially Ilocos Region.

Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon and Taiwan should closely monitor the development of TS KOPPU (LANDO).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Benguet, La Union, and Pangasinan - Tonight through Tuesday evening (Oct 20).
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Northern Zambales, Northern Tarlac, Northwestern Nueva Ecija, Western Nueva Vizcaya, Western Ifugao, Western Mt. Province, Western Kalinga and Western Apayao - Tonight through Tuesday evening (Oct 20).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Southern Zambales, Southern Tarlac, Portion of Western Nueva Ecija, Portion of Central Nueva Vizcaya, Eastern Ifugao, Eastern Mt. Province, Eastern Kalinga and Eastern Apayao - Today through Tuesday evening (Oct 20).

WINDS
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): Pangasinan, La Union and Ilocos Sur - Today until Tuesday morning (Oct 20).
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Zambales, Tarlac, Benguet, Abra and Ilocos Norte - Today through Tuesday morning (Oct 20).

STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 6 m (3 to 20 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of La Union, Pangasinan, Ilocos Sur and Ilocos Norte - Today until Tuesday (Oct 20)


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 PM PhT yesterday, October 19...1500 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS KOPPU (LANDO)
Location: Near the central shores of Ilocos Norte...(near 18.3N 120.3E)
About: 34 km west of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte...or 62 km southwest of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 100 kph near the center...Gustiness: 130 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (west of the center): 100 to 450 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 978 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 580 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 75 km from the center
Past Movement: North-Northeast @ 06 kph
Forecast Movement: Northeast to East-Northeast @ 05 kph
Towards: Ilocos Norte-Batanes Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is expected to turn northeast within the next 24 hours...then north-northeastward throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, KOPPU (LANDO) shall traverse the northernmost coastline of Ilocos Norte through Tuesday evening (Oct 20) and shall emerge over the Babuyan Channel east of Calayan Island on Wednesday evening (Oct 21).

TS KOPPU (LANDO) is forecast to weaken further within the next 24 to 48 hours as it interacts with the terrain of Northwestern Luzon. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds weakening to 85 kph on Tuesday evening (Oct 20)...remaining with that intensity through 48 hours.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

TUESDAY EVENING: traverses the northern tip of Ilocos Norte as it weakens slightly and emerges over the Babuyan Channel...about 57 km east-northwest of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte [8PM OCT 20: 18.7N 121.3E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
WEDNESDAY EVENING Passing east of Calayan Island with a north-northeast track...about 74 km east-southeast of Calayan Island, Cagayan [8PM OCT 21: 19.2N 122.2E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.
THURSDAY EVENING: Passing near to the east of Batanes...still maintaining its strength while moving across the Bashi Channel...about 76 km northeast of Basco, Batanes [8PM OCT 22: 21.0N 122.5E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Tue Oct 20, 2015
Location of Center: Near 18.3º N Lat 120.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 79 km NNW of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Distance 2: 189 km N of San Fernando City, La Union
Distance 3: 168 km SW of Calayan Is., Cagayan
Distance 4: 297 km SSW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 418 km NNW of Metro Manila

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 05:04 0 comments

Monday, October 19, 2015

Typhoon KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 016

 

Typhoon KOPPU (LANDO) Update Number 016

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TYPHOON KOPPU (LANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 016
Issued at: 1:30 PM PhT (05:30 GMT) Monday 19 October 2015
Next Update: Monday Evening, 19 October 2015

Typhoon KOPPU (LANDO) has maintained its strength as it continues to move northward with slightly increasing forward speed along the shores of Ilocos Sur.

Residents and visitors along Luzon should closely monitor the development of TY KOPPU (LANDO).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.

RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Ilocos Sur, Apayao, Kalinga, Mt. Province, Ifugao, Abra, Benguet, La Union, Pangasinan and Nueva Vizcaya - Today through Tuesday evening (Oct 20).
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Zambales, Tarlac, Nueva Ecija and Ilocos Norte - Today through Tuesday evening (Oct 20).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Pampanga, Bulacan, Batangas, Bataan, Cavite, Rizal, Metro Manila, Quirino, Western Isabela and Western Cagayan - Today through Tuesday evening (Oct 20).

WINDS
  • Strong Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 100-130 kph): Pangasinan, La Union and Ilocos Sur - Today until Tuesday morning (Oct 20).
  • Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Zambales, Tarlac, Benguet, Abra and Ilocos Norte - Today through Tuesday morning (Oct 20).

STORM SURGE
  • Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 6 m (3 to 20 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of La Union, Pangasinan, Ilocos Sur and Ilocos Norte - Today until Tuesday (Oct 20)


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 11:00 AM PhT today, October 19...0300 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY KOPPU (LANDO)
Location: Over the northern shores of Ilocos Sur...(near 17.6N 120.3E)
About: 111 km north of San Fernando City, La Union...or 11 km west of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 130 kph near the center...Gustiness: 150 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (southwest and west of the center): 100 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 959 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 700 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): 85 km from the center
Past Movement: North @ 11 kph
Forecast Movement: Northeast @ 06 kph
Towards: Ilocos Norte-Abra Area


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK

TY KOPPU (LANDO) is expected to turn north-northeast to northeastward throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, KOPPU (LANDO) shall traverse along the border of Ilocos Norte and Abra through Tuesday morning (Oct 20) and shall reemerge over the Babuyan Channel in the afternoon.

TY KOPPU (LANDO) is forecast to weaken into a Tropical Storm (TS) within the next 24 hours. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds weakening to 95 kph on Tuesday morning (Oct 20)...and decreasing further to 85 kph on Wednesday morning (Oct 21).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

TUESDAY MORNING: Weakens into a Tropical Storm (TS) as it moves northeastward slowly along Ilocos Norte-Abra border...about 42 km west-southwest of Aparri, Cagayan [8AM OCT 20: 18.3N 121.3E @ 95kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.
WEDNESDAY MORNING Continues to lose strength as it reemerges over the Babuyan Channel...about 62 km east-southeast of Calayan, Cagayan [8AM OCT 21: 19.0N 122.0E @ 85kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.
THURSDAY MORNING: Reintensifies as it turns north towards Bashi Channel ...about 25 km southeast of Basco, Batanes [8AM OCT 22: 20.2N 122.1E @ 100kph]. Confidence Level: LOW.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Mon Oct 19, 2015
Location of Center: Near 17.6º N Lat 120.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 137 km NNW of Baguio City
Distance 2: 178 km N of Dagupan City
Distance 3: 168 km WNW of Cauayan City, Isabela
Distance 4: 74 km SSW of Laoag City
Distance 5: 353 km NNW of Metro Manila

Issued by: Leonilo C. Millanes for Weather.com.ph

__._,_.___
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post • Reply to sender • Reply to group • Start a New Topic • Messages in this topic (1)

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 21:33 0 comments

Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)