Thursday, August 06, 2015

Typhoon SOUDELOR Update #003


Typhoon SOUDELOR (HANNA) Update Number 003



Issued at: 7:15 AM PhT (23:15 GMT) Thursday 06 August 2015
Next Update: Thursday Evening, 06 August 2015

Typhoon SOUDELOR (HANNA) continues to lose strength as it moves towards Taiwan...threat to the area increases. Its outermost rainbands likely to affect Extreme Northern Luzon beginning Friday until Saturday.

This cyclone, although far, will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) and bring occasional to frequent rains with thunderstorms across Palawan, Western Mindanao, Negros Island Region, and Western Visayas today through the weekend. Residents are advised to take precautionary measures against possible flashfloods or landslides.

Residents and visitors along Extreme Northern Luzon, Taiwan, Ryukyus and Southeastern China should closely monitor the development of TY SOUDELOR (HANNA).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.



As of 5:00 AM PhT today, August 06...2100 GMT.

Classification/Name: TY SOUDELOR (HANNA)
Location: Over the eastern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 20.4N 130.8E)
About: 915 km east of Basco, Batanes...or 925 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 165 kph near the center...Gustiness: 205 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 952 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 650 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 205 km north and 75 km south from the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 18 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 22 kph
Towards: Taiwan


TY SOUDELOR (HANNA) is expected to move on a generally west-northwest track throughout the outlook period, with little fluctuations in its forward speed. On the forecast track, SOUDELOR will be traversing the central and western part of the North Philippine Sea by Friday early morning...and shall make landfall along the coast of Eastern Taiwan on Saturday early morning (Aug 08).

TY SOUDELOR (HANNA) will start regaining strength throughout the outlook period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing back to 200 kph by late Thursday through Friday early morning (Aug 08).

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:

FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Traversing the central part of the North Philippine Sea...regains strength...about 485 km east-northeast of Basco, Batanes [2AM AUG 07: 21.7N 126.5E @ 175kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: At peak strength while just along the coast of Eastern Taiwan...about to make landfall...about 65 km south of Hualien City, Taiwan [2AM AUG 08: 23.4N 121.7E @ 200kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Over Southeastern China, making its final landfall...weakens into a severe tropical storm...about 95 km northwest of Xiamen City, China [2AM AUG 09: 25.1N 117.4E @ 110kph]. Confidence Level: MEDIUM.

*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.


Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Thu Aug 06, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 20.4º N Lat 130.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 745 km SSE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 810 km SE of Ishigakijima
Distance 3: 1075 km SE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 4: 1005 km ENE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 5: 1215 km NE of Metro Manila

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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