Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Typhoon GONI StormWatch #04


Typhoon GONI StormWatch No. 04

Tropical Storm GONI rapidly becomes a powerful Typhoon (TY) as it moves faster, closer to the eastern border of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...expected to enter PAR on Tuesday morning or afternoon (Aug 18). Based on the latest Global Dynamic Forecast Models (GDFM), GONI could become a Super Typhoon on Tuesday afternoon or Wednesday morning (Aug 19)...its medium-range forecasts show the cyclone to be near or just north of the Batanes Group of Islands on Friday or Saturday, Aug 21 or 22. This Typhoon will be locally named as INENG as soon as it enters the PAR.

As of 5:00 PM PhT (09:00 GMT) today, Monday, August 17, 2015, the small eye of GONI was located some 1,845 km East of Northern Luzon, Philippines...or 510 km East of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) [17.4N 139.8E]...with maximum sustained winds of 200 kph near the center and gustiness up to 240 kph. It was moving West-Northwest at 24 kph towards the North Philippine Sea.

TY GONI is still too far away to directly affect any part of the Philippines for the next 4 days..

The next WeatherPhilippines information on TY GONI will be issued tomorrow afternoon or evening (Tue Aug 18). It is likely that this StormWatch Update will be replaced with the usual 12-hrly or 6-hrly Storm Updates as GONI enters the PAR.

Meanwhile, ATSANI has also intensified into a Typhoon as it slowly moves West to WNW across the Northwest Pacific Ocean. This system remains outside of the PAR, and Global Models still doesn't show a track towards the Philippines, therefore, ATSANI is not a threat to the Philippine Islands. KIndly check out the latest WPF Graphical Satellite Analysis on this very far storm at http://www.weather.com.ph/news.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for Weather.com.ph


Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
Reply via web post Reply to sender Reply to group Start a New Topic Messages in this topic (1)



No comments: