WEATHER.COM.PH / T2K TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM WUKONG (QUINTA) UPDATE NUMBER 007
Issued: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Wednesday 26 Dec 2012
Next Update: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Thursday 27 Dec 2012
Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) is now emerging over the northern part of Sulu Sea after it crossed Northern Panay...approaching the Calamian Islands. Storm's rainbands continues to affect Western Visayas, Mindoro, and the Calamian Islands.
Wukong (Quinta) will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) and bring moderate to strong winds with "on-and-off" rains across Eastern & Southern Luzon including Metro Manila and Bicol Region tonight.
Residents and visitors along Southwestern Luzon including Mindoro, Western Visayas and Northern Palawan should closely monitor the development of Wukong (Quinta).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 6 AM today, the center of Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) was located over Sulu Sea...about 47 km north-northeast of Amanpulo, Pamalican Island or 79 km south of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro...currently moving westward with a forward speed of 22 km/hr in the general direction of Calamian Islands and the West Philippine Sea.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are at 65 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 15 kilometers from the center. A WeatherPhilippines/Meteomedia Automated Weather Station (AWS) situated in Bacolod City has recorded wind gusts of 70 km/hr blowing from the northwest at 8:00 AM this morning. Meanwhile, various AWS also recorded 24-hour rainfall accumulations between 20-130 millimeters around Negros and Panay Islands, with Cadiz City in Negros Occidental as the highest rainfall recorded. Wukong (Quinta) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 445 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near and to north of the center of TS Wukong (Quinta) is estimated to be heavy (210 mm).
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) is expected to continue moving westward during the next 12 to 24 hours...with a turn to the west-southwest around 36 to 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Wukong (Quinta) is expected to pass over the Calamian Group of Islands later tonight...and will be over the West Philippine Sea on Thursday. This storm should move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday evening. On Friday and Saturday, Wukong (Quinta) should be moving across the South China Sea, well to the southeast of Vietnam.
WUKONG (Quinta) is forecast to slightly re-intensify during the next 12 to 24 hours as it moves into the warm waters of the Sulu and West Philippine Seas later this evening until Thursday.
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
THURSDAY EVENING: Gains strength as it moves over the West Philippine Sea...about 478 km west of Coron, Palawan [6PM DEC 27: 12.0N 115.8E @ 75kph].
FRIDAY EVENING: Exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) as it turns west-southwest across the South China Sea...downgraded into a Tropical Depression (TD)...about 362 km southeast of Nha Trang, Vietnam [6PM DEC 28: 10.8N 112.2E @ 55kph].
SATURDAY EVENING: Still moving west-southwest while over the South China Sea...dissipated into an area of low pressure...about 336 km southeast of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam [6PM DEC 29: 9.2N 109.3E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
INNER RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across Northern Panay, Boracay, Mindoro Provinces, Romblon-Tablas Islands, and Calamian Islands. Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-85 kph) will be expected along these bands. OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across Bicol Region including Masbate, Ticao-Burias Islands, Southern Panay, Negros, Northern Palawan, Marinduque, Lubang Island and Southern Tagalog Provinces. Tropical Depression Conditions with moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 210 mm (heavy) along areas near and north of the center of Wukong (Quinta).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Wed December 26, 2012
Class/Name: TS Wukong (Quinta)
Location of Center: 11.7º N Lat 121.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 47 km (NNE) from Amanpulo, Pamalican Is.
Distance 2: 79 km (S) from San Jose, Occ.Mindoro
Distance 3: 89 km (N) from Cuyo Island
Distance 4: 93 km (ESE) from Coron, Palawan
Distance 5: 100 km (WSW) away from Boracay
Distance 6: 148 km (ENE) from El Nido
Distance 7: 196 km (W) away from Roxas City
Distance 8: 198 km (NW) away from Iloilo City
Distance 9: 200 km (S) from Puerto Galera
Distance 10: 241 km (NW) away from Bacolod City
Distance 11: 323 km (S) from Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph
Present Movement: West @ 22 kph
Towards: Calamian Islands
CPA [ETA] to Calamian Group: Tonight [9-11PM PhT]
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [210 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 445 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-3 ft (0.3-0.9 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE:
CURRENT TRACKING CHART:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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