WEATHER.COM.PH / T2K TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM WUKONG (QUINTA) UPDATE NUMBER 002
Issued: 12:00 NN PhT (04:00 GMT) Tuesday 25 Dec 2012
Next Update: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Tuesday 25 Dec 2012
Tropical Depression 27W (Quinta) becomes Tropical Storm Wukong...moving closer to Leyte...expected to make landfall over Eastern Leyte later tonight. Inner rainbands (with moderate to heavy rains and winds of 40-60 kph) approaching the coastal areas of Leyte Island and Southern Samar.
Wukong (Quinta) will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) and bring moderate to strong winds with "on-and-off" rains across the Bicol Region, Eastern & Southern Luzon today.
Residents and visitors along Bicol Region, Southern Luzon and the Visayas should closely monitor the development of Wukong (Quinta).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 12 noon today, the center of Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) was located over the Philippine Sea...about 299 km southeast of Borongan City, Eastern Samar or 322 km east-southeast of Tacloban City, Leyte...currently moving west to west-northwest with a forward speed of 19 km/hr in the general direction of Leyte-Southern Samar-Panay Area.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are at 65 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Wukong (Quinta) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 445 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of TS Wukong (Quinta) is estimated to be heavy (300 mm).
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) is expected to move west-northwest during the next 24 to 48 hours...with a turn to the west through 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Wukong (Quinta) is expected to make landfall over Central Leyte, just south of Tacloban City later tonight and pass very close to Ormoc City around 2AM Wednesday (Dec 26)...and cross the northern tip of Cebu (near Bogo City) passing over Bantayan Island and Northern Panay on Wednesday morning til noontime. By Wednesday afternoon, Wukong (Quinta) may pass just south of Boracay, and move across the Calamian Group of Islands on Wednesday evening. By Thursday through Friday, Wukong (Quinta) should be over the West Philippine Sea as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).
WUKONG (Quinta) is forecast to maintain its strength during the next 24 hours as it traverses Visayas...and could strengthen slightly once it reaches the Sulu and West Philippine Seas.
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
TUESDAY NOON: Over the northern shoreline of Panay (Northern part of Capiz-Aklan Area)...about 33 km west of Roxas City [12PM DEC 26: 11.6N 122.5E @ 65kph].
WEDNESDAY NOON: Over the West Philippine Sea...intensifying slightly...about 235 km west-northwest of Coron, Palawan [12PM DEC 27: 12.5N 118.1E @ 75kph].
THURSDAY NOON: Turns west to west-southwestward while over the West Philippine Sea, exits PAR as it intensifies slightly...about 601 km west-northwest of Coron, Palawan [12PM DEC 28: 12.6N 114.7E @ 85kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
INNER RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across Eastern Leyte, Southern Samar, Dinagat and Siargao Islands. Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-85 kph) will be expected along these bands. OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across Sorsogon, Masbate, Ticao, Bohol, Northern Cebu, Rest of Samar and Leyte, and Surigao Provinces. Tropical Depression Conditions with moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 350 mm (heavy) along areas near the center of Wukong (Quinta).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 12:00 NN PhT Tue December 25, 2012
Class/Name: TS Wukong (Quinta)
Location of Center: 10.3º N Lat 127.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 258 km (ENE) from Surigao City
Distance 2: 299 km (SE) from Borongan City
Distance 3: 322 km (ESE) from Tacloban City
Distance 4: 328 km (E) from Maasin City
Distance 5: 358 km (ESE) from Ormoc City
Distance 6: 402 km (SE) from Calbayog City
Distance 7: 422 km (ESE) from Bogo City
Distance 8: 427 km (E) from Metro Cebu
Distance 9: 496 km (ESE) from Cadiz City
Distance 10: 509 km (SE) from Masbate City
Distance 11: 565 km (ESE) from Roxas City
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph
Present Movement: WNW @ 19 kph
Towards: Samar-Leyte-Northern Panay Area
CPA [ETA] to Central Leyte: Tonight [10-11PM PhT]
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [350 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 445 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 13 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-3 ft (0.3-0.9 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE:
CURRENT TRACKING CHART:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS WUKONG (QUINTA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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