WEATHER.COM.PH / T2K TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM WUKONG (QUINTA) UPDATE NUMBER 005
Issued: 8:00 AM PhT (00:00 GMT) Wednesday 26 Dec 2012
Next Update: 1:00 PM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday 26 Dec 2012
Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) is now over the Northeastern tip of Panay...approaching Roxas City and Boracay Island Resort. Storm's rainbands spreading across Visayas and Bicol Region.
Wukong (Quinta) will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) and bring moderate to strong winds with "on-and-off" rains across Eastern & Southern Luzon today.
Residents and visitors along Bicol Region, Southern Luzon and the Visayas including Northern Palawan should closely monitor the development of Wukong (Quinta).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 8 am today, the center of Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) was located over the northeastern tip of Panay off Iloilo Province...about 35 km east of Roxas City or 138 km east-southeast of Boracay Island Resort...currently moving west-northwest with a forward speed of 24 km/hr in the general direction of Northern Coastal Areas of Capiz-Aklan Area.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) are at 65 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 30 kilometers from the center Wukong (Quinta) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 445 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near and to north of the center of TS Wukong (Quinta) is estimated to be heavy (310 mm).
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) is expected to continue moving west-northwestward during the next 24 to 48 hours...with a turn to the west to west-southwest through 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Wukong (Quinta) is expected to traverse the northern coastal areas of Capiz and Aklan this morning...passing over or very close to Roxas City in the next few hours...and over or very near Boracay on or before 12 noon today. By this evening, the storm should pass over or very close to the Calamian Group of Islands...and emerge over the West Philippine Sea on Thursday morning. It should move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Friday early morning...approaching the southeastern coast of Vietnam on Saturday.
WUKONG (Quinta) is forecast to slightly intensify during the next 12 to 24 hours as it reaches the Sulu and West Philippine Seas late this evening.
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
THURSDAY MORNING: Gains strength as it moves over the West Philippine Sea...about 196 km west of Coron, Palawan [6AM DEC 27: 12.0N 118.4E @ 75kph].
FRIDAY MORNING: Exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)...weakens slightly...about 522 km east of Nha Trang, Vietnam [6AM DEC 28: 12.1N 114.0E @ 65kph].
SATURDAY MORNING: Turns west-southwestward while approaching the southeastern coast of Vietnam...downgraded to a Tropical Depression (TD)...about 269 km southeast of Nha Trang, Vietnam [6AM DEC 29: 11.1N 111.4E @ 55kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
INNER RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across Masbate, Ticao, Leyte, Northern Negros, Northern Panay, Boracay, and Romblon-Tablas Islands. Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-85 kph) will be expected along these bands. OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across The Rest of Bicol Region, Rest of Visayas, Marinduque, Mindoro, and Southern Quezon. Tropical Depression Conditions with moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 310 mm (heavy) along areas near and north of the center of Wukong (Quinta).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 8:00 AM PhT Wed December 26, 2012
Class/Name: TS Wukong (Quinta)
Location of Center: 11.5º N Lat 123.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 35 km (E) from Roxas City
Distance 2: 60 km (NNW) from Cadiz City (Negros)
Distance 3: 102 km (NNE) from Bacolod City
Distance 4: 104 km (NNE) from Iloilo City
Distance 5: 138 km (ESE) from Boracay
Distance 6: 114 km (SSW) away from Masbate City
Distance 7: 150 km (SSE) from Romblon
Distance 8: 160 km (NNW) away from Metro Cebu
Distance 9: 235 km (S) from Metro Naga
Distance 10: 200 km (SSW) from Legazpi City
Distance 11: 239 km (ESE) from San Jose, Mindoro Occ.
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph
Present Movement: WNW @ 24 kph
Towards: Northern Coastal Areas of Panay
CPA [ETA] to Northern Panay: Today [9-11AM PhT]
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [310 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 445 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 14 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-3 ft (0.3-0.9 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE:
CURRENT TRACKING CHART:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS WUKONG (QUINTA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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