WEATHER.COM.PH / T2K TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM WUKONG (QUINTA) UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued: 7:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Tuesday 25 Dec 2012
Next Update: 1:00 AM PhT (17:00 GMT) Wednesday 26 Dec 2012
Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) has strengthened slightly as it inches closer to the island of Leyte...now moving over Leyte Gulf. This storm is expected to make landfall over Eastern Leyte around midnight (Dec 26), somewhere along the towns of Mayorga, MacArthur and Abuyog. Stormy weather continuing across Samar and Leyte Provinces.
Wukong (Quinta) will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) and bring moderate to strong winds with "on-and-off" rains across the Bicol Region, Eastern & Southern Luzon today through Wednesday.
Residents and visitors along Bicol Region, Southern Luzon and the Visayas should closely monitor the development of Wukong (Quinta).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 6 pm today, the center of Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) was located over the Philippine Sea...about 172 km southeast of Tacloban City, Leyte or 204 km east-southeast of Ormoc City, Leyte...currently moving west-northwest with an increased forward speed of 24 km/hr in the general direction of Leyte-Northern Cebu-Panay Area.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have slightly increased to 75 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 30 kilometers from the center Wukong (Quinta) is an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 445 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near and to north of the center of TS Wukong (Quinta) is estimated to be heavy (310 mm).
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Tropical Storm Wukong (Quinta) is expected to continue moving west-northwestward during the next 24 to 48 hours...with a turn to the west through 72 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Wukong (Quinta) is expected to make landfall over Central Leyte (along the towns of Mayorga-MacArthur-Abuyog Area) around midnight (Dec 26) and pass very close to Ormoc City around 2AM Wednesday (Dec 26)...and cross the northern tip of Cebu (over Bogo City) passing over Bantayan Island and North-Central Panay on Wednesday morning til noontime. By Wednesday afternoon, Wukong (Quinta) may pass just south of Boracay Island Resort, and move across the Calamian Group of Islands on Wednesday evening. On Thursday through Friday, Wukong (Quinta) should be over the West Philippine Sea as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).
WUKONG (Quinta) is forecast to slightly weaken during the next 24 hours as it traverses Visayas...and could re-strengthen slightly once it reaches the Sulu and West Philippine Seas.
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
WEDNESDAY EVENING: Weakens slightly as it moves across the Sulu Sea...about 73 km west-southwest of Boracay [6PM DEC 26: 11.6N 121.3E @ 65kph].
THURSDAY EVENING: Over the West Philippine Sea...regain intensity...about 384 km west-northwest of Coron, Palawan [6PM DEC 27: 12.5N 116.7E @ 75kph].
FRIDAY EVENING: Turns west to west-southwestward while over the West Philippine Sea, exits PAR as it starts to weaken...about 707 km west of Coron, Palawan [6PM DEC 28: 12.3N 113.7E @ 65kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
INNER RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across Leyte, Samar, Dinagat and Siargao Islands. Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (62-85 kph) will be expected along these bands. OUTER RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across Bicol Region including Masbate, Ticao, Bohol, Cebu, Misamis Oriental, Agusan and Surigao Provinces. Tropical Depression Conditions with moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 101 to 310 mm (heavy) along areas near and north of the center of Wukong (Quinta).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PhT Tue December 25, 2012
Class/Name: TS Wukong (Quinta)
Location of Center: 10.5º N Lat 126.4º E Lon
Distance 1: 126 km (NE) from Surigao City
Distance 2: 164 km (SE) from Borongan City
Distance 3: 172 km (SE) from Tacloban City
Distance 4: 175 km (E) from Maasin City
Distance 5: 204 km (ESE) from Ormoc City
Distance 6: 268 km (ESE) from Bogo City
Distance 7: 274 km (ENE) from Metro Cebu
Distance 8: 342 km (ESE) from Cadiz City, Negros Occ.
Distance 9: 365 km (SE) from Masbate City
Distance 10: 411 km (ESE) from Roxas City
Distance 11: 515 km (ESE) from Boracay
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 75 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 95 kph
Present Movement: WNW @ 24 kph
Towards: Leyte-Northern Cebu-Panay Area
CPA [ETA] to Central Leyte: Wednesday [12-1AM PhT]
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Heavy [310 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 445 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 1-3 ft (0.3-0.9 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE:
CURRENT TRACKING CHART:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS WUKONG (QUINTA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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