WEATHER.COM.PH / T2K TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION BOPHA (PABLO) UPDATE NUMBER 041 [FINAL]
Issued: 12:00 NN PhT (04:00 GMT) Sunday 09 Dec 2012
Bopha (Pablo) rapidly dissipating near the coast of Ilocos Norte...just a weak Tropical Depression. Complete dissipation of this system expected within 12 to 24 hours.
This is the last and final update on Bopha (Pablo).
Do not use this for life or death decision. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 12 noon today, the decaying center of Tropical Depression Bopha was located near the coast of Ilocos Norte...about 139 km west of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte or 146 km northwest of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur...currently moving very slowly northeastward with a forward speed of 4 km/hr.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have rapidly decreased to 45 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Bopha is remains a small-sized tropical cyclone with a decreased diameter of 335 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of TD Bopha is estimated to be moderate to heavy (100 mm).
1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
Tropical Depression Bopha is expected to turn southward during the next 24 hours. On the forecast track, the remnants of Bopha is expected to be just near the coast of Ilocos Sur on Monday noontime.
Bopha will continue to weaken and dissipate throughout the forecast period due to the surge of cool dry-air feeding into its circulation and increasing strong winds near the troposphere (known as Vertical Wind Shear) affecting the system.
The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:
MONDAY NOON: Dissipated near the coast of Ilocos Sur...just an area of low pressure...about 108 km west-northwest of Vigan City, Ilocos Sur [12PM DEC 10: 17.8N 119.4E @ 30kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 250 km...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
DECAYING RAINBANDS - affecting and spreading across the coastal areas of Ilocos Provinces. Tropical Depression Conditions with moderate to strong winds (<62 kph) will be expected along these bands (click here to know more about Rainbands). 24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 50 mm (slight to moderate rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 51 to 100 mm (moderate to heavy) along areas near the center of Bopha.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 12:00 NN PhT Sun December 09, 2012
Class/Name: TD Bopha (Pablo)
Location of Center: 18.4º N Lat 119.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 139 km (W) from Laoag City
Distance 2: 146 km (NW) from Vigan City
Distance 3: 159 km (WSW) from Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 45 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 65 kph
Present Movement: NE @ 04 kph
Towards: Near the Coast of Ilocos Provinces
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Moderate/Heavy [100 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1002 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 335 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 20 feet
Possible Storm Surge Height: 0 ft (0 m)
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGE:
CURRENT TRACKING CHART:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TD BOPHA (PABLO)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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