Saturday, September 05, 2009

TS DUJUAN (LABUYO) - Update #010

 


for Saturday, 05 September 2009 [12:33 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed September 02 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS DUJUAN (LABUYO).


DUJUAN (LABUYO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 95 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 85 km/hr

+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 75 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/0912]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 010

12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Sat 05 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #007
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Storm DUJUAN (LABUYO) intensifying more as it accelerates northeastward away from the Northern Philippine Sea.

    *Residents and visitors along Southern Japan & Ryukyu Islands should closely monitor the progress of DUJUAN (LABUYO).

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: DUJUAN is expected to turn NNE across the warm Northern Philippine Sea for the next 24 hours. The 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system exiting the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) tomorrow afternoon & becoming a minimal Category 1 Typhoon. It shall be approaching the Southern Coast of Honshu, Japan on Tuesday Sep 08...becoming Extratropical on Wednesday or Thursday (Sep 09-10).

    + Effects: DUJUAN's broad circulation continues to hover across the Northern Philippine Sea with no land areas affected. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 150 up to 200 mm can be expected along the storm's rain bands with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near the center of DUJUAN.

    + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: STRONG >> Moderate to strong southwesterly winds not in excess of 45 kph with occasional rains or thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, CENTRAL, WESTERN & SOUTHERN LUZON, WESTERN BICOL REGION INCLUDING MASBATE, NORTHERN & WESTERN VISAYAS, NORTHERN PALAWAN & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Sat September 05 2009
    Location of Center: 21.1º N Lat 133.6º E Lon
    Distance 1: 825 km (445 nm) SE of Okinawa, Japan
    Distance 2: 890 km (480 nm) WSW of Iwo To
    Distance 3: 1,205 km (650 nm) ENE of Basco, Batanes
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    85 kph (45 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
    Central Pressure: 991 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: NE @ 26 kph (14 kts)
    General Direction: Southern Japan
    Size (in Diameter): 1,295 km (700 nm) / Very Large
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 25 ft (7.62 m)
    Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 8 AM PST Sat Sep 05
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    00Z Sat Sep 05
    Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 8 AM Sat Sep 05
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

  • JTWC 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    8 PM (12 GMT) 05 SEPTEMBER: 21.7N 133.8E / 95-120 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NNE @ 20 KPH
  • 8 AM (00 GMT) 06 SEPTEMBER: 23.8N 134.5E / 110-140 KPH (Tropical Storm) / N @ 17 KPH
    8 AM (00 GMT) 07 SEPTEMBER: 27.0N 135.0E / 140-165 KPH (Typhoon-CAT1) / NE @ 13 KPH
    8 AM (00 GMT) 08 SEPTEMBER: 29.3N 136.6E / 140-165 KPH (Typhoon-CAT1) / NE @ 24 KPH

    REMARKS: 8 AM (00 GMT) 05 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 20.1N 132.6E.
    TS 13W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INCREASINGLY POLEWARD OVER THE
    NEXT 48 HOURS UNDER THE CONTINUED STEERING INFLUENCE OF SUBTROPICAL
    RIDGING TO THE EAST. AFTER TAU 48 THE TROPICAL STORM WILL CREST THE
    STEERING RIDGE AXIS AND TURN NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
    MIDLATITUDE TROUGH. THE TROPICAL STORM SHOULD INTENSIFY STEADILY
    OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT
    REMAIN FAVORABLE. HOWEVER, THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO APPROXIMATELY
    MAINTAIN INTENSITY BETWEEN TAU 36 AND TAU 72 AS WESTERLY VERTICAL
    WIND SHEAR BEGINS TO INCREASE...
    (
    more)

    >> DUJUAN, meaning: AzaleaName contributed by: China.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
     
    > 10 AM (02 GMT) 05 SEPTEMBER: 20.3N 132.7E / NNE @ 15 kph / 85 kph

    :: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at: 
       
    http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml   
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


    RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS DUJUAN (LABUYO/13W)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


    Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

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