Monday, September 14, 2009

TS KOPPU (NANDO) rapidly intensifies... [Update #006]

 


for Monday, 14 September 2009 [6:55 AM PST]

click to get RSS data
<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts on NANDO!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to

2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sun September 13 2009):

Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS KOPPU (NANDO).


KOPPU (NANDO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 85 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 85 km/hr

+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr

TROPICAL STORM KOPPU [NANDO/16W/0915]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 006

6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Mon 14 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #004
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • NANDO (16W) has left the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and is now a Tropical Storm...threat to Western Guangdong continues.

    *Residents and visitors along Southern China should closely monitor the progress of KOPPU (NANDO).

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: KOPPU is expected to continue moving WNW across the South China Sea within the next 2 day and shall make landfall over Western Guangdong tomorrow afternoon as a 100-kph storm. KOPPU will dissipate upon moving overland across Western Guangdong on Wednesday Sep 16.

    + Effects: KOPPU's circulation remains over the South China Sea. Its Northern, NW and Western outer rainbands has been spreading acrpss the coastal areas of Southern China including Hainan Island. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 50 up to 200 mm can be expected along NANDO's rainbands with isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm near its center. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: LIGHT >> Light southwesterly winds not in excess of 35 kph with occasional chance of light rains w/ some thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: LA UNION, PANGASINAN, ILOCOS NORTE AND ILOCOS SUR.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Mon September 14 2009
    Location of Center: 19.9º N Lat 116.3º E Lon
    Distance 1: 345 km (187 nm) SE of Hong Kong
    Distance 2: 380 km (205 nm) SE of Macau
    Distance 3: 490 km (265 nm) NW of Laoag City, PH
    Distance 4: 625 km (338 nm) ESE of Zhanjiang, China
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    85 kph (45 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 100 kph (55 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
    Central Pressure: 988 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: WNW @ 24 kph (13 kts)
    General Direction: Western Guangdong
    Size (in Diameter): 590 km (320 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
    T2K TrackMap (for Public): 6 PM PST Sun Sep 13
    JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap:
    18Z Sun Sep 13
    TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 2-days Ahead
    Zoomed Satellite Pic:
    Near Real-Time
    Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop

  • JTWC 12, 24, & 48 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:

    2 PM (06 GMT) 14 SEPTEMBER: 20.4N 114.7E / 85-100 KPH (Tropical Storm) / WNW @ 17 KPH
  • 2 AM (18 GMT) 15 SEPTEMBER: 21.1N 112.9E / 100-130 KPH (Tropical Storm) / WNW @ 15 KPH
    2 AM (18 GMT) 16 SEPTEMBER: 22.6N 109.7E / 35-55 KPH (Tropical Disturbance / LPA) / --- @ -- KPH

    REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 14 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 19.9N 116.6E.
    ^ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP,
    CONVECTIVE SPIRAL BANDS STARTING TO WRAP INTO A PARTIALLY EXPOSED
    LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES
    THAT THE SYSTEM HAS STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, ENABLING THE SYSTEM
    TO CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. TS 16W WILL
    CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE EASTWARD-
    DRIFTING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED OVER CHINA. THE SYSTEM IS NOW
    EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NORTH OF THE LEIZHOU PENINSULA BY TAU 36
    AND DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY TAU 48. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
    THE 131730Z PGTW FIX AND IS SUPPORTED BY THE 131752Z AMSRE MICROWAVE
    IMAGE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON QUIKSCAT WINDS DEPICTING
    UNFLAGGED 40-KNOT WINDS CLOSE TO THE CENTER AND IS SUPPORTED BY THE
    SAME AMSRE IMAGE WHICH UNCOVERS A WELL-DEVELOPED CONVECTIVE
    SIGNATURE...
    (
    more)

    >> KOPPU, meaning: Crater; CupName contributed by: Japan.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


    RECENT TYPHOON2000.COM (T2K) TRACKING CHART
    :


    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:


    > Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TS KOPPU (NANDO)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


    Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.com     All Rights Reserved

    __._,_.___
    Recent Activity
    Visit Your Group
    Group Charity

    Citizen Schools

    Best after school

    program in the US

    Hollywood kids

    in the spotlight

    Their moms

    share secrets

    Yahoo! Groups

    Small Business Group

    Share experiences

    with owners like you

    .

    __,_._,___

    No comments: