for Wednesday, 09 September 2009 [6:40 PM PST]
<<<Typhoon2000.com Mobile >>>
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on MARING!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed September 09 2009):
Now issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on the new TD 14W (MARING).
14W (MARING) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W [MARING]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 003
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Wed 09 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #001
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Depression 90W MARING) rapidly accelerating Northwestward away from Western Luzon...almost a Tropical Storm...now threatens Southern China, particularly Western Guangdong and Hainan Island.
*Residents and visitors along Southern and Southwestern China & Hainan Island should closely monitor the progress of 14W (MARING).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 14W is expected to reach Tropical Storm status within the next 24 hours and turn more to the WNW. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system approaching the coast of Western Guangdong and Northern part of Hainan Island on Saturday afternoon as a strong 85-kph storm. 14W shall make landfall over Western Guangdong on Saturday night, Sep 12 and weaken rapidly as it moves inland across SW China.
+ Effects: 14W's compact circulation has moved completely over the open waters of the South China Sea...shall start to affect the coastal areas of Southern China beginning tomorrow. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 200 up to 300 mm can be expected along the depression's rain bands.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 40 kph with occasional widespread rains or thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: PALAWAN, CALAMIAN GROUP, BATAAN, ZAMBALES, PANGASINAN, PARTS OF VISAYAS AND WESTERN LUZON. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Wed September 09 2009
Location of Center: 18.4º N Lat 117.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 350 km (188 nm) West of Laoag City
Distance 2: 340 km (183 nm) WNW of Vigan City
Distance 3: 540 km (290 nm) SE of Hong Kong
Distance 4: 570 km (308 nm) SE of Macau
Distance 5: 780 km (420 nm) ESE of Zhanjiang, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 60 kph (33 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 80 kph (43 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0.0 m]
Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 22 kph
General Direction: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 400 km (215 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Wed Sep 09
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Wed Sep 09
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now lowered: ILOCOS SUR, ILOCOS NORTE, LA UNION, ABRA, PANGASINAN, & ZAMBALES.
JTWC 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 AM (18 GMT) 10 SEPTEMBER: 18.6N 117.8E / 55-75 KPH (Tropical Depression) / WNW @ 13 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on MARING!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed September 09 2009):
Now issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on the new TD 14W (MARING).
14W (MARING) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W [MARING]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 003
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Wed 09 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #001
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Southern and Southwestern China & Hainan Island should closely monitor the progress of 14W (MARING).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 14W is expected to reach Tropical Storm status within the next 24 hours and turn more to the WNW. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system approaching the coast of Western Guangdong and Northern part of Hainan Island on Saturday afternoon as a strong 85-kph storm. 14W shall make landfall over Western Guangdong on Saturday night, Sep 12 and weaken rapidly as it moves inland across SW China.
+ Effects: 14W's compact circulation has moved completely over the open waters of the South China Sea...shall start to affect the coastal areas of Southern China beginning tomorrow. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 200 up to 300 mm can be expected along the depression's rain bands.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 40 kph with occasional widespread rains or thunderstorms can be expected along the following affected areas: PALAWAN, CALAMIAN GROUP, BATAAN, ZAMBALES, PANGASINAN, PARTS OF VISAYAS AND WESTERN LUZON. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Wed September 09 2009
Location of Center: 18.4º N Lat 117.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 350 km (188 nm) West of Laoag City
Distance 2: 340 km (183 nm) WNW of Vigan City
Distance 3: 540 km (290 nm) SE of Hong Kong
Distance 4: 570 km (308 nm) SE of Macau
Distance 5: 780 km (420 nm) ESE of Zhanjiang, China
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 60 kph (33 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 80 kph (43 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0.0 m]
Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: NW @ 22 kph
General Direction: Southern China
Size (in Diameter): 400 km (215 nm) / Average
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 9 ft (2.7 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 PM PST Wed Sep 09
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06Z Wed Sep 09
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
Now lowered: ILOCOS SUR, ILOCOS NORTE, LA UNION, ABRA, PANGASINAN, & ZAMBALES.
2 AM (18 GMT) 10 SEPTEMBER: 18.6N 117.8E / 55-75 KPH (Tropical Depression) / WNW @ 13 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 10 SEPTEMBER: 19.3N 116.6E / 65-85 KPH (Tropical Storm) / WNW @ 15 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 11 SEPTEMBER: 20.2N 113.4E / 85-100 KPH (Tropical Storm) / W @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 12 SEPTEMBER: 20.6N 111.1E / 85-100 KPH (Tropical Storm) / W @ 11 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 11 SEPTEMBER: 20.2N 113.4E / 85-100 KPH (Tropical Storm) / W @ 09 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 12 SEPTEMBER: 20.6N 111.1E / 85-100 KPH (Tropical Storm) / W @ 11 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 09 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 17.9N 118.5E.
*ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS RAPIDLY
CONSOLIDATED WITH DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDS FORMING INTO THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA WITH UPPER LEVEL DIFLUENCE ALBEIT
WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES, NEARBY SHIP OBSERVA-
TIONS, AND FROM A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWING UNFLAGGED 25-30 KNOT
WINDS AROUND THE LLCC. TD 14W IS INITIALLY BEING STEERED NORTHWEST-
WARD BY AN EXTENSION OF A LOW- TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST.
BY TAU 24, A DEEPER SECONDARY RIDGE ANCHORED NEAR SHANGHAI WILL
ASSUME STEERING OF THE SYSTEM ON A MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
TRAJECTORY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO WEAK TROPICAL
STORM STRENGTH AS IT TRACKS ALONG WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (IN
EXCESS OF 28C) THEN WEAKEN BACK TO A TD AFTER TAU 72 WHEN IT
ENCOUNTERS THE LAND MASS OF HAINAN ISLAND AND ZHANJIANG PENINSULA.
THE AVAILABLE NUMERIC GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY IN AGREEMENT WITH THIS
TRACK FORECAST WITH GFDN AND NOGAPS AS RIGHT AND LEFT OUTLIERS,
RESPECTIVELY. THIS TRACK FORECAST IS JUST TO THE RIGHT AND SLIGHTLY
SLOWER THAN CONSENSUS FOR THE FIRST 48 HOURS.....(more)
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 PM (08 GMT) 09 SEPTEMBER: 17.9N 117.8E / NW @ 07 kph / 55 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 14W (MARING)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
Copyright © 2009 Typhoon2000.
__._,_.___
Change settings via the Web (Yahoo! ID required)
Change settings via email: Switch delivery to Daily Digest | Switch format to Traditional
Visit Your Group | Yahoo! Groups Terms of Use | Unsubscribe
.
__,_._,___
No comments:
Post a Comment