for Monday, 28 September 2009 [6:47 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon September 28 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly (except 12 AM) advisories on TD 18W (UNNAMED).
18W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Mon 28 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #003
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Depression 18W (UNNAMED) drifting WSW across Central Micronesia as it slightly intensifies.
*Residents and visitors along the Marianas and Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 18W (UNNAMED).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 18W is expected to move WNW for the next 24 hours and intensify into a Tropical Storm. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range forecast shows the system continuing WNW-ward, passing very close to Guam by early Wednesday...reaching Typhoon status on Thursday morning, Oct 1st. 18W, as a Typhoon, shall enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) early Friday morning, Oct 2nd and shall be approaching Extreme Northern Luzon on Saturday, Oct 03. Please be aware that long-range forecast changes every now and then. Continued monitoring on this potential typhoon is a must for disaster preparedness agencies.
+ Effects: 18W's circulation continues to consolidate. This system is not yet affecting any major Western Pacific Islands as of this time.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Mon September 28 2009
Location of Exposed Center: 9.6º N Lat 155.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,280 km (690 nm) ESE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 1,265 km (683 nm) SE of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 3: 1,950 km (1,053 nm) East of Yap, FSM
Distance 4: 2,290 km (1,237 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 5: 3,330 km (1,798 nm) East of Northern Mindanao
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WSW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
General Direction: Southern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): -- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 13 ft (3.9 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 AM PST Mon Sep 28
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18 GMT Sun Sep 27
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY/AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 28 SEPTEMBER: 10.4N 154.2E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 26 KPH
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Get the latest SMS Storm Alerts!
For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
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powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon September 28 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly (except 12 AM) advisories on TD 18W (UNNAMED).
18W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 45 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 002
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Mon 28 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #003
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Marianas and Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 18W (UNNAMED).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 18W is expected to move WNW for the next 24 hours and intensify into a Tropical Storm. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range forecast shows the system continuing WNW-ward, passing very close to Guam by early Wednesday...
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Mon September 28 2009
Location of Exposed Center: 9.6º N Lat 155.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,280 km (690 nm) ESE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 1,265 km (683 nm) SE of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 3: 1,950 km (1,053 nm) East of Yap, FSM
Distance 4: 2,290 km (1,237 nm) East of P.A.R.
Distance 5: 3,330 km (1,798 nm) East of Northern Mindanao
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: WSW @ 07 kph (04 kts)
General Direction: Southern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): -- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 13 ft (3.9 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 AM PST Mon Sep 28
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18 GMT Sun Sep 27
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 PM (06 GMT) 28 SEPTEMBER: 10.4N 154.2E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 26 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 SEPTEMBER: 11.0N 151.4E / 75-95 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 33 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 30 SEPTEMBER: 13.3N 144.9E / 95-120 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 OCTOBER: 15.2N 139.8E / 120-150 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / WNW @ 26 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 30 SEPTEMBER: 13.3N 144.9E / 95-120 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 OCTOBER: 15.2N 139.8E / 120-150 KPH (TY-Cat 1) / WNW @ 26 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 28 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 10.1N 156.3E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
700 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS SLIGHTLY
INTENSIFIED AS CONVECTION, MOSTLY WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC), HAS DEEPENED. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE LLCC HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES TD 18W IS JUST SOUTHWEST OF AN ANTICYCLONE IN
AN AREA OF MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). THE CURRENT
INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON DVORAK FIXES FROM PGTW AND KNES.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS IT
TRACKS ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A BROAD LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO IMPROVE AS THE VWS RELAXES AND POLEWARD OUTFLOW INTO AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH INCREASES. ADDITIONALLY, ALONG-TRACK SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES (IN EXCESS OF 26 CELSIUS) ARE CONDUCIVE TO FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. NUMERIC GUIDANCE IS MINIMAL BUT MARGINALLY IN
AGREEMENT...(more)
____________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 18W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
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