for Friday, 04 September 2009 [6:40 AM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed September 02 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS DUJUAN (LABUYO).
DUJUAN (LABUYO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 80 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/0912]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 006
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Fri 04 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #02
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
DUJUAN (LABUYO) has tracked Eastward...now a Tropical Storm.
*Residents and visitors along Southern Japan & Ryukyu Islands should closely monitor the progress of DUJUAN (LABUYO).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: DUJUAN is expected to turn to the NE and accelerate across the warm Northern Philippine Sea. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system becoming a Category 1 Typhoon with winds of 140 kph on Monday Sep 07 and shall exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Tuesday Sep 08. It shall be approaching the Southern Coast of Honshu, Japan on Wednesday Sep 09.
+ Effects: Broad circulation of DUJUAN continues to spreading across the Northern Philippine Sea, briefly affecting the Bicol Region. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 5 up to 20 mm can be expected along the Bicol Region increasing to 200 mm along the storm's inner rain bands...Isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm is possible near the center of DUJUAN. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 45 kph with occasional thunderstorms and rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, VISAYAS, PALAWAN & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) partially exposed near the coast of Vietnam but may develop into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 12 to 24 hours...currently located near lat 15.6N lon 109.7E...or about 170 km ESE of Da Nang, Vietnam...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph...Quasi-Stationary.
This system will be closely monitored for possible development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 12 to 24 hours. Kindly click the cool T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Fri September 04 2009
Location of Center: 17.0º N Lat 129.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 810 km (438 nm) ESE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 2: 820 km (443 nm) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 860 km (465 nm) SE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 994 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: East @ 05 kph (03 kts)
General Direction: Southern Japan
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm) / Avg/Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 17 ft (5.1 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Fri Sep 04
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Thu Sep 03
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Thu Sep 04
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: CAGAYAN & ISABELA.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
JTWC 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 PM (06 GMT) 04 SEPTEMBER: 17.8N 129.3E / 65-85 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NE @ 13 KPH
<<<Typhoon2000.
Get the latest 6-hrly SMS Storm Alerts on LABUYO!
For more details: Text T2K TYPHOON to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
*only P2.50 (Smart/Globe) / P2.00 (Sun) per msg received.
powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed September 02 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on TS DUJUAN (LABUYO).
DUJUAN (LABUYO) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 80 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 75 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN [LABUYO/03W/
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 006
6:00 AM PST (22:00 GMT) Fri 04 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #02
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along Southern Japan & Ryukyu Islands should closely monitor the progress of DUJUAN (LABUYO).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: DUJUAN is expected to turn to the NE and accelerate across the warm Northern Philippine Sea. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range Forecast shows the system becoming a Category 1 Typhoon with winds of 140 kph on Monday Sep 07 and shall exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Tuesday Sep 08. It shall be approaching the Southern Coast of Honshu, Japan on Wednesday Sep 09.
+ Effects: Broad circulation of DUJUAN continues to spreading across the Northern Philippine Sea, briefly affecting the Bicol Region. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 5 up to 20 mm can be expected along the Bicol Region increasing to 200 mm along the storm's inner rain bands...Isolated accumulations of up to 300 mm is possible near the center of DUJUAN. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.
+ Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 45 kph with occasional thunderstorms and rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, VISAYAS, PALAWAN & MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.
+ Tropical Cyclone Watch:
(1) Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) partially exposed near the coast of Vietnam but may develop into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 12 to 24 hours...currently located near lat 15.6N lon 109.7E...or about 170 km ESE of Da Nang, Vietnam...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 35 kph...Quasi-
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 AM PST Fri September 04 2009
Location of Center: 17.0º N Lat 129.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 810 km (438 nm) ESE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 2: 820 km (443 nm) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 3: 860 km (465 nm) SE of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 65 kph (35 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 85 kph (45 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Storm
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 1-3 feet [0.3-0.9 m]
Central Pressure: 994 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: East @ 05 kph (03 kts)
General Direction: Southern Japan
Size (in Diameter): 665 km (360 nm) / Avg/Large
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 17 ft (5.1 m)
Wunder TrackMap (for Public): 2 AM PST Fri Sep 04
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 18Z Thu Sep 03
Multi-Agency Forecast TrackMap: 2 AM Thu Sep 04
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 120 hrs lead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
PHILIPPINE STORM WARNING SIGNAL # ONE (1)
In Effect: CAGAYAN & ISABELA.
The above areas will have rains and winds of not more than 60 kph today. Coastal waters will be moderate to rough.
Residents living in low-lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal Number 1 are alerted against flashfloods, mudflows, mudslides and landslides.
2 PM (06 GMT) 04 SEPTEMBER: 17.8N 129.3E / 65-85 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NE @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 05 SEPTEMBER: 18.7N 130.4E / 75-95 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NE @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 06 SEPTEMBER: 21.7N 132.8E / 100-130 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NNE @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 SEPTEMBER: 24.6N 133.9E / 120-150 KPH (Typhoon) / N @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 06 SEPTEMBER: 21.7N 132.8E / 100-130 KPH (Tropical Storm) / NNE @ 15 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 07 SEPTEMBER: 24.6N 133.9E / 120-150 KPH (Typhoon) / N @ 15 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 04 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 17.2N 128.7E.
^TROPICAL STORM DUJUAN (13W) HAS SLOWLY TURNED TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS A NEAR-EQUATORIAL RIDGE
EXTENSION BUILDS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THE INITIAL
POSITION IS BASED ON RECENT PGTW AND RJTD POSITION FIXES. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS CONSISTENT WITH REPORTING AGENCY
DVORAK ESTIMATES RANGING FROM T=2.0 TO T=2.5 AND SCATTEROMETER DATA
SHOWING APPROXIMATELY 30 KNOT WINDS NEAR THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
CENTER. TD 13W IS SITUATED SOUTH AND WEST OF AN UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE CENTER IN AN AREA OF MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. AS TD 13W TRACKS GRADUALLY NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEERING
INFLUENCE OF THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL RIDGE OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS,
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST. THIS SHEAR SHOULD LIMIT
THE INTENSIFICATION TO A SLOW RATE THROUGH THE FIRST 36 HOURS OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER TAU 36, THE INFLUENCE OF A BUILDING
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST WILL TURN TD 13W INCREASINGLY
POLEWARD, WHILE DECREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IMPROVED POLEWARD
OUTFLOW WILL SUPPORT A HIGHER INTENSIFICATION RATE. BEYOND TAU 96,
TD 13W WILL BEGIN TO TURN EASTWARD AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING MID-
LATITUDE TROUGH. INCREASING WESTERLY SHEAR COULD LIMIT FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION IN THE MEDIUM TO LONG RANGE, ALTHOUGH A MORE
FAVORABLE OUTFLOW PATTERN COULD ALLOW THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO
INTENSIFY MORE THAN THE CURRENT FORECAST INDICATES...
>> DUJUAN, meaning: Azalea. Name contributed by: China.
____________
PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.):
> 4 AM (20 GMT) 04 SEPTEMBER: 17.1N 128.2E / NE @ 9 kph / 75 kph
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website at:
http://www.pagasa.
____________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TS DUJUAN (LABUYO/13W)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
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