for Monday, 28 September 2009 [8:00 PM PST]
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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon September 28 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly (except 12 AM) advisories on TD 18W (UNNAMED).
18W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Mon 28 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #005
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
Tropical Depression 18W (UNNAMED) now starting to move West across Hall Islands.
*Residents and visitors along the Marianas and Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 18W (UNNAMED).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 18W is expected to start tracking WNW and intensify into a Tropical Storm. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range forecast shows the system continuing moving WNW, passing very close to the south of Guam by Wednesday afternoon Sep 30. 18W shall enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Friday afternoon, Oct 2nd and then turn more on a near-westerly track across the Philippine Sea on Saturday Oct 03, threatening Northern Luzon. Please be aware that long-range forecast changes every now and then. Continued monitoring on this potential typhoon is a must for disaster preparedness agencies.
+ Effects: 18W's circulation continues to consolidate. This system is not yet affecting any major Western Pacific Islands as of this time.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Mon September 28 2009
Location of Center: 9.2º N Lat 154.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,165 km (628 nm) SE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 1,175 km (635 nm) SE of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 3: 1,250 km (675 nm) East of TD 19W
Distance 4: 1,810 km (977 nm) East of Yap, FSM
Distance 5: 2,150 km (1,160 nm) East of PAR
Distance 6: 3,190 km (1,722 nm) East of Surigao City, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: Southern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): -- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 PM PST Mon Sep 28
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06 GMT Mon Sep 28
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
JTWC (US NAVY/AIR FORCE) 12, 24, 48 & 72 HR. FORECAST & REMARKS:
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 SEPTEMBER: 9.7N 152.5E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / WNW @ 24 KPH
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For more details: Text T2K HELP to
2800 (Globe/TM) | 216 (Smart/TNT) | 2288 (Sun)
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powered by: Synermaxx
Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Mon September 28 2009):
Currently issuing 6-hrly (except 12 AM) advisories on TD 18W (UNNAMED).
18W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W [UNNAMED]
T2K PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 004
6:00 PM PST (10:00 GMT) Mon 28 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC WARNING #005
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)
*Residents and visitors along the Marianas and Western Micronesia should closely monitor the progress of 18W (UNNAMED).
*Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.
+ Forecast Outlook: 18W is expected to start tracking WNW and intensify into a Tropical Storm. The 2 to 5-day Long-Range forecast shows the system continuing moving WNW, passing very close to the south of Guam by Wednesday afternoon Sep 30. 18W shall enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Friday afternoon, Oct 2nd and then turn more on a near-westerly track across the Philippine Sea on Saturday Oct 03, threatening Northern Luzon. Please be aware that long-range forecast changes every now and then. Continued monitoring on this potential typhoon is a must for disaster preparedness agencies.
+ Effects: 18W's circulation continues to consolidate. This system is not yet affecting any major Western Pacific Islands as of this time.
[Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!]
Time/Date: 6:00 PM PST Mon September 28 2009
Location of Center: 9.2º N Lat 154.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 1,165 km (628 nm) SE of Guam, CNMI
Distance 2: 1,175 km (635 nm) SE of Saipan, CNMI
Distance 3: 1,250 km (675 nm) East of TD 19W
Distance 4: 1,810 km (977 nm) East of Yap, FSM
Distance 5: 2,150 km (1,160 nm) East of PAR
Distance 6: 3,190 km (1,722 nm) East of Surigao City, PH
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph (30 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph (40 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Recent Movement: West @ 19 kph (10 kts)
General Direction: Southern Marianas
Size (in Diameter): -- km (--- nm) / N/A
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 15 ft (4.5 m)
NWS-Guam TrackMap (for Public): 5 PM PST Mon Sep 28
JTWC Ship Avoidance TrackMap: 06 GMT Mon Sep 28
TSR Wind Probabilities: Current to 5-days Ahead
Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time
Wunderground Animation: 6-12 hr. GIF Loop
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 SEPTEMBER: 9.7N 152.5E / 55-75 KPH (TD) / WNW @ 24 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 29 SEPTEMBER: 10.5N 150.0E / 65-85 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 26 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 30 SEPTEMBER: 12.7N 144.7E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 OCTOBER: 14.2N 140.1E / 100-130 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 30 SEPTEMBER: 12.7N 144.7E / 85-100 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 OCTOBER: 14.2N 140.1E / 100-130 KPH (TS) / WNW @ 22 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 28 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 9.1N 154.8E.
*TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 18W (EIGHTEEN) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 630 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS WEAK AND POORLY
ORGANIZED. THE NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE FOR TD 18W IS VERY LIMITED
DUE TO THE WEAK DEVELOPMENT, ITS POOR ORGANIZATION AND ITS LIMITED
HORIZONTAL EXTENT. THE CURRENT FORECAST IS BASED ON VORTEX TRACKERS
FROM WBAR, EGRR, UKMO AND THE EXTENDED MODEL FIELDS FROM ECMWF. THE
FORECAST IS FURTHER COMPLICATED BY PROXIMITY TO TD 19W, WITH SEVERAL
NUMERICAL MODELS SHOWING INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS, WITH
TD 19W BECOMING THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION. THE INTERACTION BETWEEN TD
18W AND TD 19W IN THE NUMERICAL MODELS MAY BE A RESULT OF THE MODEL
RESOLUTION, VICE AN ACTUAL INTERACTION. THIS FORECAST REFLECTS THE
LATTER (NO INTERACTION BETWEEN TDS 18W AND 19W). THUS, THE TRACK FOR
TD 18W IS TO THE WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
WITH SLOW INTENSIFICATION, REACHING TYPHOON STRENGTH AT TAU 120. THE
SYSTEM SHOULD PASS JUST SOUTH OF GUAM NEAR TAU 48. IT IS WORTH
REPEATING THAT THERE ARE LIMITED NUMERICAL VORTEX TRACKERS AVAILABLE
FOR THIS SYSTEM, INCREASING FORECAST UNCERTAINTY.
____________
_______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION: (EXPERIENCING TECHNICAL PROBLEMS)
> Image source: Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/ ) ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
> Image source: NOAA SATELLITE CENTER
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION: (EXPERIENCING TECHNICAL PROBLEMS)
> Image source: Wunderground.
NOTE:
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TD 18W (UNNAMED)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
>
> http://www.maybagyo
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