Thursday, September 03, 2009

TD 93W (LABUYO) - Update #004

 


for Thursday, 03 September 2009 [12:20 PM PST]

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Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Wed September 02 2009):

Now issuing 6-hrly advisories (except 12:00 AM) on the developing TD 93W (LABUYO).


93W (UNNAMED) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 65 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 55 km/hr
+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 40 km/hr

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93W [LABUYO]
T2K E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 004

12:00 PM PST (04:00 GMT) Thu 03 September 2009
Source: T2K ANALYSIS / JTWC SATELLITE FIX
View: Advisory Archives (2004-2009)

  • Tropical Depression 93W (LABUYO) almost a Tropical Storm as it moves West across the Northern Philippine Sea...threatens Extreme Northern Luzon and Taiwan.

    *Residents and visitors along Northern Luzon, Taiwan & Ryukyu Islands should closely monitor the progress of 93W (LABUYO).

    *Kindly refer to your local warnings & bulletins issued by your country's official weather agency. This advisory is intended for additional information purposes only.


    + Forecast Outlook: 93W (LABUYO) is expected to continue intesifying as it moves slowly WNW to NW. It shall become a strong tropical storm or typhoon this weekend and may threaten Extreme Northern Luzon-Taiwan-Okinawa Area. Watch for more forecast outlook later today as forecast guidance models become fully available.

    + Effects: Broad and expanding rain bands of 93W continues spreading across the eastern coast of Luzon particularly the Bicol Region. 1-day rainfall accumulations of 25 up to 100 mm can be expected along the Bicol Region increasing to 200 mm along the storm's inner rain bands...Isolated accumulations of up to 250 mm is possible near the center of 93W. People living around the slopes of Mayon Volcano in Albay & of Bulusan Volcano in Sorsogon - especially along the areas where possible MUDFLOWS (LAHAR) FLOWS (mixture of volcanic mud and water) are located must stay alert as moderate to heavy rains associated by this system are likely to affect the area today. Residents in low-lying areas & steep slopes must remain alert & seek evacuation for possible life-threatening flash floods, mudslides & landslides due to the anticipated heavy rains brought about by this system. Precautionary measures must be initiated if necessary.

    + Current SW Monsoon Intensity: MODERATE >> Light to moderate southwesterly winds not in excess of 45 kph with occasional thunderstorms and rains can be expected along the following affected areas: METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN TAGALOG PROVINCES, WESTERN MINDANAO, VISAYAS, PALAWAN & WESTERN MINDORO. Possible landslides, mudslides, mudflows (lahars) and life-threatening flash floods are likely to occur along steep mountain/volcanic slopes, river banks, low-lying & flood-prone areas of the affected areas.

    + Tropical Cyclone Watch:

    (1) Tropical Disturbance 95W (LPA) approaching the coast of Vietnam...currently located near lat 14.9N lon 110.2E...or about 250 km ESE of Hue, Vietnam...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...moving South slowly.


    (2) Tropical Disturbance 97W (LPA) circulating over the Marshall Islands, just west of Chuuk...currently located near lat 7.7N lon 152.4E...or about 2,840 km East of Mindanao...with 1-min maximum sustained winds of 30 kph...moving WNW @ 19 kph.

    These systems will be closely monitored for possible development into Tropical Cyclones in the next 3 to 5 days. Kindly click the cool
    T2K Graphical Satellite Analysis, issued everyday @ 2 PM PST (06 GMT) on tropical systems across the Western Pacific.

    [Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects, current monsoon intensity, & tropical cyclone watch changes every 6 to 12 hrs!] 
    Time/Date: 12:00 PM PST Thu September 03 2009
    Location of Center: 17.8º N Lat 128.7º E Lon
    Distance 1: 740 km (400 nm) East of Tuguegarao City
    Distance 2: 745 km (402 nm) ESE of Aparri, Cagayan
    Distance 3: 765 km (413 nm) SE of Basco, Batanes
    MaxWinds (1-min avg):
    60 kph (33 kts) near the center
    Peak Wind Gusts: 80 kph (43 kts)
    Saffir-Simpson Scale: Tropical Depression
    Coastal Storm Surge Height: 0 feet [0 m]
    Central Pressure: 998 millibars (hPa)
    Recent Movement: West @ 17 kph (09 kt)
    General Direction: Batanes-Taiwan Area
    Size (in Diameter): 550 km (295 nm) / Average
    Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 10 ft (3.0 m)
    Zoomed Satellite Pic: Near Real-Time

  • _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
     
    RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


    > Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER 
    ____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    NOTE:
     
      ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest warning.
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    >> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

       
    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
       
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
        http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
        http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
        http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
    __________________________________________________________________________________________

    For the complete details on TD 93W (LABUYO)...go visit our website @:

    >
    http://www.typhoon2000.com
    http://www.maybagyo.com

    :: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
       
    http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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