for Saturday, 31 August 2013 [9:12 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE KONG-REY (NANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 013 [FINAL]
Issued at: 8:30 AM PhT (00:30 GMT) Saturday 31 August 2013
KONG-REY (NANDO) becomes an Extratropical (Middle-Latitude) Cyclone as it races towards the Northern Coast of Kyushu at accelerating speeds.
This storm will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing mostly cloudy and breezy conditions with occasional slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains or thunderstorms across the East China Sea, Taiwan Strait and Taiwan. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
*This is the last and final update on Kong-Rey (Nando).
Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 5:00 am today, the center of Extratropical Cyclone (XT) Kong-Rey (Nando) was located over the northwestern shores of Kyushu, Japan...about 75 km west of Sasebo, Japan or 235 km south of Busan, South Korea...currently moving northeast with a rapidly increased forward speed of 55 km/hr towards Northern Japan.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remained at 55 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Kong-Rey (Nando) remains an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 390 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Kong-Rey (Nando) is estimated to be extreme (400 mm).
1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
XT Kong-Rey (Nando) is expected to continue to move rapidly northeastward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the core of Kong-Rey (Nando) will be passing along the northern shores of Northern Japan today and will be over the Northeastern Honshu-Hokkaido Area on Sunday morning.
XT Kong-Rey (Nando) is now an Extratropical (Mid-latitude) Cyclone and its strength will remain at 55 kph until it begins to weaken. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows a 1-minute sustained winds of just 45 km/hr late Sunday.
The following is the summary of the 1-day forecast outlook on this system:
SUNDAY MORNING: Moving swiftly across the northeastern tip of Honshu...about 285 km north-northwest of Sendai, Japan [5AM SEP 01: 40.8N 140.3E @ 55kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Tracks have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
DECAYING RAINBANDS - where Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: East China Sea, Northwestern and Northern Japan, and the Sea of Japan (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 100 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 100 to 400 mm (heavy to extreme) along areas near the center of Kong-Rey (Nando).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Sat Aug 31, 2013
Class/Name: XT Kong-Rey (Nando)
Location of Center: Near 33.1º N Lat 128.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 75 km W of Sasebo, Japan
Distance 2: 215 km ESE of Jeju Island
Distance 3: 235 km S of Busan, South Korea
Distance 4: 100 km WNW of Nagasaki, Japan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 55 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 75 kph
Present Movement: NE @ 55 kph
Towards: Northern Shores of Japan
24hr Rainfall Accum (SW of Center): Extreme [400 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 390 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 12 feet
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on XT KONG-REY (NANDO)...go visit our website @:
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