for Thursday, 29 August 2013 [1:05 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (NANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 009
Issued: 1:00 PM PhT (05:00 GMT) Thursday 29 August 2013
Tropical Storm KONG-REY (NANDO) has weakened slightly after its circulation interacted with the mountains of Eastern Taiwan...now accelerating northward across the East China Sea, as it exits the Philippine Area of Responsiblity (PAR).
This storm will slightly induce the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing mostly cloudy and breezy conditions with occasional slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains or thunderstorms across the Batanes-Calayan-Babuyan Island Group and Ilocos Norte. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Western and Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of Kong-Rey (Nando).
Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 11:00 am today, the center of TS Kong-Rey (Nando) was located over the East China Sea...about 125 km northeast of Taipei, Taiwan or 215 km northwest of Ishigakijima...currently moving northward with an increased forward speed of 22 km/hr towards the East China Sea.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) have decreased to 95 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 120 kilometers from the center. Kong-Rey (Nando) remains an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 500 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation to the southwest of the center of Kong-Rey (Nando) is estimated to be extreme (400 mm).
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Kong-Rey (Nando) is expected to recurve north-northeast to northeast with a rapid increase in forward speed through 24 hours...and will move more rapidly east-northwestward by 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Kong-Rey (Nando) will remain over the East China Sea through the next 36 hours...and will traverse Southern Kyushu (Japan) before noontime on Saturday.
TS Kong-Rey (Nando) will continue to lose strength throughout the forecast period...and will become an Extratropical (Mid-latitude) Cyclone on Saturday. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows Kong-Rey (Nando) decreasing its 1-minute sustained winds to just 85 km/hr by Friday and Saturday.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook and an extended 3-day forecast on this system:
FRIDAY MORNING: Continues to weaken as it moves across the East China Sea...about 340 km east-southeast of Ningbo, China [11AM AUG 30: 28.9N 124.8E @ 85kph].
SATURDAY MORNING: Makes landfall over Southern Kyushu as it becomes Exttropical...about 10 km west-southwest of Kagoshima, Japan [11AM AUG 31: 31.6N 130.5E @ 85kph].
SUNDAY MORNING: Weakens further as it moves faster across the Southern Coast of Honshu (Japan)...remains an Extratropical Cyclone...about 155 km southwest of Tokyo, Japan [11AM SEP 01: 34.7N 138.5E @ 65kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Tracks have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
INNER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-85 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Northeastern Coastal Areas of Taiwan and the Southern Part of East China Sea.
OUTER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Rest of Taiwan, Taiwan Strait and the Batanes Group of Islands. (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 400 mm (heavy to extreme) along areas to the southwest of the center of Kong-Rey (Nando).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 11:00 AM PhT Thu Aug 29, 2013
Class/Name: TS Kong-Rey (Nando)
Location of Center: 25.7º N Lat 122.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 125 km NE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 2: 210 km NW of Ishigakijima
Distance 3: 215 km NNE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 4: 320 km SE of Wenzhou, China
Distance 5: 580 km N of Basco, Batanes
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph
Present Movement: N @ 22 kph
Towards: East China Sea
24hr Rainfall Accum (SW of Center): Extreme [400 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 500 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 18 feet
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on TS KONG-REY (NANDO)...go visit our website @:
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