for Wednesday, 28 August 2013 [7:49 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL STORM KONG-REY (NANDO) UPDATE NUMBER 007
Issued: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Wednesday 28 August 2013
Next Update: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Thursday 29 August 2013
Tropical Storm KONG-REY (NANDO) is now moving closer to the eastern coast of Taiwan...deteriorating weather condition is expected along Eastern Taiwan within the next 24 hours...while the Batanes Group of Islands will continue to experience strong winds and heavy rains tonight.
This storm will slightly induce the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing mostly cloudy and breezy conditions with occasional slight to moderate to sometimes heavy rains or thunderstorms across the western sections of Central & Northern Luzon. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Taiwan, Yaeyama-Miyako Islands, and Okinawa-Ryukyu Islands should closely monitor the development of Kong-Rey (Nando).
Do not use this for life or death decisions. This update is intended for additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your national weather agency for official warnings, advisories or bulletins.
CURRENT STORM ANALYSIS
As of 5:00 pm today, the center of TS Kong-Rey (Nando) was located over Luzon Strait...about 200 km north-northeast of Basco, Batanes or 245 km southeast of Hualien, Taiwan...currently moving north with a decreased forward speed of 11 km/hr towards Taiwan-Yaeyama Area.
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min. avg) remained at 95 km/hr near the center with higher gusts. Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-117 km/hr) extend outward up to 85 kilometers from the center. Kong-Rey (Nando) remains an average-sized tropical cyclone with a diameter of 650 kilometers across. The 24-hour rainfall accumulation near the center of Kong-Rey (Nando) is estimated to be extreme (380 mm).
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Kong-Rey (Nando) is expected to move north to north-northwest with a gradual increase in forward speed during the next 24 hours...and turn to north-northeasterly to northeasterly through 48 hours. On the forecast track, the core of Kong-Rey (Nando) will be passing near the northeastern coast of Taiwan early Thursday...and will move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) or very close to the northeast coast of Taiwan by Thursday noon. By Friday afternoon, the storm will be moving across the East China Sea in the direction of Southern Japan.
TS Kong-Rey (Nando) will intensify slightly through the next 24 hours...and will start to weaken by 36 to 48 hours, transforming into an Extratropical (Mid-latitude) Cyclone. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows Kong-Rey (Nando) reaching its highest sustained winds of 100 km/hr on Thursday afternoon.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook and an extended 3-day forecast on this system:
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Exits PAR as it moves away from the NE Coast of Taiwan...intensifies slightly...about 105 km northeast of Taipei, Taiwan [5PM AUG 29: 25.7N 122.3E @ 100kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Turns northeasterly across the East China Sea...starts losing strength...becoming Extratropical...about 390 km east-southeast of Ningbo, China [5PM AUG 30: 28.8N 125.3E @ 85kph].
SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Accelerating rapidly northeastward as it passes Kyushu, Japan...becomes an Extratropical Cyclone...about 120 km east-northeast of Kagoshima, Japan [5PM AUG 31: 32.0N 131.8E @ 65kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Tracks have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
EFFECTS & HAZARDS SUMMARY
Below is the summary of the storm's parts and its hazards affecting specific areas. You can also view this image link for you to understand the parts.
INNER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Storm Conditions with Tropical Storm Force Winds (63-85 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Southern part of East Taiwan Sea and northeastern part of Bashi Channel.
OUTER RAINBANDS - where Tropical Depression Conditions with light, moderate to strong winds (30-62 kph) will be expected. Affected Areas: Batanes Group of Islands. (click here to know more about Rainbands).
24HR TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATION - from 5 up to 200 mm (slight to heavy rainfall) can be expected along areas affected by the outer & inner rainbands (see above)...with isolated amounts of 201 to 380 mm (heavy to extreme) along areas to the east, north and near the center of Kong-Rey (Nando).
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook, effects and hazards summary changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
CURRENT TECHNICAL INFORMATION
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Aug 28, 2013
Class/Name: TS Kong-Rey (Nando)
Location of Center: 22.1º N Lat 122.8º E Lon
Distance 1: 200 km NNE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 2: 180 km NNE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 3: 405 km NNE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 4: 245 km SE of Hualien, Taiwan
Distance 5: 305 km SSW of Ishigakijima
Distance 6: 340 km SSE of Taipei, Taiwan
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 95 kph near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 120 kph
Present Movement: N @ 11 kph
Towards: Taiwan-Yaeyama Area
24hr Rainfall Accum (near center): Extreme [380 mm]
Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)
Size (in Diameter): 650 km [Average]
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 22 feet
T2K/WP StormTracks (for Public): GIF | Google Map (Flash)
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
For the complete details on TS KONG-REY (NANDO)...go visit our website @:
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