for Tuesday, 15 July 2014 [9:40 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON RAMMASUN (GLENDA) UPDATE NUMBER 010
Issued at: 8:30 PM PhT (12:30 GMT) Tuesday 15 July 2014
Next Update: 12:00 AM PhT (16:00 GMT) Wednesday 16 July 2014
Typhoon RAMMASUN (GLENDA) has rapidly intensified and made landfall over Rapu-Rapu Island-Bacacay Area in Albay around 5 PM this afternoon...and is now traversing Camarines Sur...now passing in the vicinity of San Fernando-Milaor-Minalabac Area in Camarines Sur.
Residents and visitors along Southern and Central Luzon and Northern Visayas particularly the eastern coastal areas should closely monitor the development of TY Rammasun (Glenda).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected by the current tropical cyclone.
BICOL REGION, NORTHERN SAMAR, AND SOUTHERN QUEZON: Heavy to extreme rains of 100 mm or more will be experienced today until Wednesday morning...with Tropical Storm Force Winds of 65 kph or more...and up to Typhoon Force Winds of more than 120 kph near the center of Rammasun. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against strong winds, storm surges, flashfloods and landslides. NORTHERN MINDORO, MARINDUQUE, QUEZON, POLILLO ISLAND, BATANGAS, LAGUNA, RIZAL, BULACAN, CAVITE, BATAAN, PAMPANGA, METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN NUEVA ECIJA, TARLAC, ZAMBALES AND PANGASINAN: Heavy to extreme rains of 100 mm or more will be experienced beginning tonight until Wednesday evening...with Tropical Storm Force Winds of 65 kph or more...and up to Typhoon Force Winds of more than 120 kph near the center of Rammasun. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against strong winds, storm surges, flashfloods and landslides.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 8:00 PM PhT today...1200 GMT.
Location: Over Camarines Sur (Metro Naga) (near 13.5N 123.1E)
About: 10 km south of Naga City...or 75 km northwest of Legazpi City, Albay
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 185 kph near the center...Gustiness: 230 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 200 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 555 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 95 kilometers from the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 24 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 22 kph
Towards: Southern Quezon
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY Rammasun (Glenda) is expected to move west-northwestward to northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the typhoon will cross Southern Quezon between 2 AM to 7 AM...and will be traversing Rizal, Laguna and Metro Manila between 7 AM to 11 AM. By Wednesday afternoon, Rammasun will cross Bataan and will pass very close to Subic Bay between 2 PM to 3 PM and will be over the West Philippine Sea by Wednesday evening. By Thursday afternoon, the typhoon shall exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) while moving across the South China Sea towards Southern China.
Rammasun will slightly weaken during the next 24 to 36 hours hours after traversing Southern Luzon land mass...and will regain strength by 48 hours as it moves across the West Philippine and South China Seas through 72 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 175 kph (Category 2 Typhoon) by Thursday afternoon.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Crossing Southern Quezon...starts to weaken...about 45 km south-southeast of Metro Manila [2PM JUL 16: 14.8N 120.1E @ 150kph]. THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Regains strength as it moves out the PAR...about 445 km west-northwest of Iba, Zambales [2PM JUL 17: 17.0N 115.7E @ 150kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO
Time/Date: 8:00 PM PhT Tue Jul 15, 2014
Class/Name: TY Rammasun (Glenda)
Minimum Central Pressure: 948 millibars (hPa)
Location of Eye: Near 13.5º N Lat 123.1º E Lon
Distance 1: 10 km S of Naga City
Distance 2: 45 km SE of Ragay, Camarines Sur
Distance 3: 70 km SSE of Daet, Camarines Norte
Distance 4: 80 km NW of Legazpi City
Distance 5: 180 km ESE of Lucena City
Distance 6: 250 km SE of Metro Manila
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale: Category 3
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TY NEOGURI (FLORITA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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