for Wednesday, 16 July 2014 [12:40 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON RAMMASUN (GLENDA) UPDATE NUMBER 011
Issued at: 12:30 AM PhT (16:30 GMT) Wednesday 16 July 2014
Next Update: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Wednesday 16 July 2014
Typhoon RAMMASUN (GLENDA) traversing Southern Quezon on its way towards Metro Manila.
Residents and visitors along Southern and Central Luzon and Northern Visayas particularly the eastern coastal areas should closely monitor the development of TY Rammasun (Glenda).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected by the current tropical cyclone.
BICOL REGION, NORTHERN SAMAR, AND SOUTHERN QUEZON: Heavy to extreme rains of 100 mm or more will be experienced today until Wednesday morning...with Tropical Storm Force Winds of 65 kph or more...and up to Typhoon Force Winds of more than 120 kph near the center of Rammasun. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against strong winds, storm surges, flashfloods and landslides.
NORTHERN MINDORO, MARINDUQUE, QUEZON, POLILLO ISLAND, BATANGAS, LAGUNA, RIZAL, BULACAN, CAVITE, BATAAN, PAMPANGA, METRO MANILA, SOUTHERN NUEVA ECIJA, TARLAC, ZAMBALES AND PANGASINAN: Heavy to extreme rains of 100 mm or more will be experienced beginning tonight until Wednesday evening...with Tropical Storm Force Winds of 65 kph or more...and up to Typhoon Force Winds of more than 120 kph near the center of Rammasun. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against strong winds, storm surges, flashfloods and landslides.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 PM PhT today...1500 GMT.
Location: Over Ragay Gulf (near 13.7N 122.6E)
About: 65 km west-northwest of Naga City...or 195 km southeast of Manila
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 165 kph near the center...Gustiness: 205 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 200 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 555 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 95 kilometers from the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 28 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 22 kph
Towards: Quezon-Metro Manila
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY Rammasun (Glenda) is expected to move west-northwestward to northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the typhoon will cross Southern Quezon between 2 AM to 5 AM...and will be traversing Rizal, Laguna and Metro Manila between 5 AM to 10 AM. By Wednesday evening, Rammasun will cross Bataan and will pass very close to Subic Bay between 2 PM to 3 PM and will be over the West Philippine Sea by Wednesday evening. By Thursday evening, the typhoon shall exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) while moving across the South China Sea towards Southern China.
Rammasun will slightly weaken during the next 24 to 36 hours hours after traversing Southern Luzon land mass...and will regain strength by 48 hours as it moves across the West Philippine and South China Seas through 72 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 175 kph (Category 2 Typhoon) by Thursday afternoon.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:
WEDNESDAY EVENING: Off the West Philippine Sea...about 185 km northwest of Iba, Zambales [8PM JUL 16: 15.7N 118.4E @ 165kph].
THURSDAY EVENING: Regains strength as it moves out the PAR...about 445 km west-northwest of Hong Kong, China [8PM JUL 17: 17.8N 114.5E @ 185kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES TECHNICAL INFO
Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Tue Jul 15, 2014
Class/Name: TY Rammasun (Glenda)
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Location of Eye: Near 13.7º N Lat 122.6º E Lon
Distance 1: 25 km WSW of Ragay, CamSur
Distance 2: 65 km WNW of Naga City
Distance 3: 120 km ESE of Lucena City
Distance 4: 180 km ESE of Tagaytay City
Distance 5: 195 km SE of Metro Manila
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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