for Tuesday, 08 July 2014 [7:03 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON NEOGURI (FLORITA) UPDATE NUMBER 006
Issued at: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Tuesday 08 July 2014
Next Update: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Tuesday 08 July 2014
NEOGURI (FLORITA) has weakened gradually below Super Typhoon threshold...will move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) later this morning as it approaches Ishigakijima-Okinawa Area.
This typhoon will continue to enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy conditions w/ occasional rains and gusty winds (not exceeding 50 kph) across MiMaRoPa, Western Visayas and portions of Western Luzon...becoming more frequent with possible heavy monsoon rains along Northern Palawan, Calamian-Cuyo-Pamalican Group of Islands, Western Panay incl. Boracay, Mindoro Occidental, and Western Zambales today through Wednesday. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Okinawa, Ryukyus, Taiwan and Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of TY Neoguri (Florita).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines with possible effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.
None.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.
Location: Over the north-western part of the North Philippine Sea (near 24.3N 126.0E)
About: 270 km south-southwest of Naha International Airport, Okinawa...or 590 km northeast of Basco, Batanes
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 205 kph near the center...Gustiness: 250 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and south of the eye): 200 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 1,140 km (Average)
Past Movement: North-Northwest @ 24 kph
Forecast Movement: North at 22 kph
Towards: Ishigakijima-Okinawa-East China Sea Area
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
STY Neoguri (Florita) is expected to move north during the next 24 hours...with a sharp turn towards the northeast to east-northeast through 48 hours, and will maintain its east-northeast track with a much faster forward speed through 72 hours. On the forecast track, the typhoon will pass just west of Okinawa later this afternoon and will traverse the East China Sea on Wednesday morning. Neoguri will making landfall along the central or southern part of Kyushu, Japan by noontime Thursday...and will be passing along the southern shores of Honshu, Japan on Friday morning.
Neoguri (Florita) will maintain its strength for the next 12 hours before weakening through the next 36 hours. By 48 to 72 hours, the typhoon will continue to gradually weaken as it moves across the Southern Coast of Japan. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 95 kph by early Friday morning.
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Turns northerly as it weakens over the East China Sea...about 310 km NNW of Okinawa, Japan [2AM JUL 09: 28.7N 126.0E @ 195kph]. THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Turns sharply east-northeastward while approaching the west coast of Kyushu, Japan...weakens to a Category 1 Typhoon...about 210 km W of Kagoshima, Japan [2AM JUL 10: 31.3N 128.4E @ 130kph]. FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Rapidly accelerates east-northeastward while moving along the southern shores of Honshu, Japan...becoming an Extratropical Cyclone (aka. Middle-latitude Cyclone)...about 60 km SSW of Tanabe, Japan [2AM JUL 11: 33.2N 135.1E @ 95kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue Jul 08, 2014
Class/Name: TY Neoguri (Florita)
Minimum Central Pressure: 941 millibars (hPa)
Location of Eye: Near 24.3º N Lat 126.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 185 km E of Ishigakijima
Distance 2: 270 km SSW of Naha International Airport, Okinawa
Distance 3: 295 km SSW of Kadena Air Base, Okinawa
Distance 4: 450 km ESE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 5: 590 km NE of Basco, Batanes
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale: Category 3
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
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>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TY NEOGURI (FLORITA)...go visit our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
Copyright © 2014 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved
Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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