for Sunday, 06 July 2014 [6:30 PM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON NEOGURI (FLORITA) UPDATE NUMBER 003
Issued at: 6:00 PM PhT (10:00 GMT) Sunday 06 July 2014
Next Update: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Monday 07 July 2014
NEOGURI (FLORITA) almost a Super Typhoon as it continues to intensify while moving faster across the North Philippine Sea.
This typhoon will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (Hanging Habagat) - bringing cloudy conditions w/ occasional rains and gusty winds (not exceeding 50 kph) across Visayas and Luzon...becoming more frequent with possible heavy monsoon rains along MiMaRoPa, Panay including Guimaras, and Negros Occidental today through Monday. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Okinawa, Ryukyus, Taiwan and Southern Japan should closely monitor the development of TY Neoguri (Florita).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines with possible effects caused by the current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT.
Location: Over the central part of the North Philippine Sea (near 18.9N 130.7E)
About: 895 km south-southeast of Okinawa, Japan...or 895 km east-northeast of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 230 kph near the center...Gustiness: 280 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and southwest of the eye): 200 to 520 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 1,090 km (Average)
Past Movement: Northwest @ 28 kph
Forecast Movement: Northwest at 20 kph
Towards: North Philippine Sea-Okinawa-Ryukyus Area
3-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY Neoguri (Florita) is expected to continue moving northwestward during the next 24 hours...with a sharp turn towards the north-northwest to north through 48 hours, and will recurve north-northeast by 72 hours. On the forecast track, the typhoon will move across the North Philippine Sea on Monday and will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Tuesday morning. Neoguri will be passing close to the west of Okinawa on Tuesday afternoon and will be moving into the Yellow Sea towards Western Kyushu on Wednesday afternoon.
Neoguri (Florita) is expected to continue strengthening for the next 24 to 36 hours...and could become a Super Typhoon on Monday. By 72 hours, the dangerous typhoon may start to weaken as it enters the cooler sea surface temperatures of the Yellow Sea. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 260 kph by early Monday morning.
The following is the summary of the 3-day forecast outlook on this system:
MONDAY AFTERNOON: Becomes a Super Typhoon as it moves across the northern part of the North Philippine Sea...about 580 km ENE of Basco, Batanes [2PM JUL 07: 21.5N 127.5E @ 250kph].
TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Turns sharply towards the North across the East China Sea after moving out of the PAR...passing near Okinawa...about 135 km WNW of Naha International Airport, Okinawa [2PM JUL 08: 26.6N 126.4E @ 260kph].
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Moving across the southern part of the Yellow Sea...approaching the western coast of Kyushu, Japan...about 315 km WSW of Kagoshima City, Japan [2PM JUL 09: 30.8N 127.3E @ 215kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES & TECHNICAL INFO
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Sun Jul 06, 2014
Class/Name: TY Neoguri (Florita)
Minimum Central Pressure: 929 millibars (hPa)
Location of Eye: Near 18.9º N Lat 130.7º E Lon
Distance 1: 895 km SSE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 895 km ENE of Santa Ana, Cagayan
Distance 3: 915 km SE of Ishigakijima
Distance 4: 930 km ESE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 5: 1155 km SE of Taipei, Taiwan
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale: Category 4
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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