for Wednesday, 16 July 2014 [6:30 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TYPHOON RAMMASUN (GLENDA) UPDATE NUMBER 012
Issued at: 6:00 AM PhT (22:00 GMT) Wednesday 16 July 2014
Next Update: 12:00 PM PhT (04:00 GMT) Wednesday 16 July 2014
Typhoon RAMMASUN (GLENDA) rapidly traversed Southern Quezon on its way to Laguna, Cavite, Metro Manila and Bataan.
Residents and visitors along Southern and Central Luzon particularly the eastern coastal areas should closely monitor the development of TY Rammasun (Glenda).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected by the current tropical cyclone.
NORTHERN BICOL, MARINDUQUE, NORTHERN MINDORO, QUEZON, POLILLO ISLAND, BATANGAS, LAGUNA, RIZAL, BULACAN, CAVITE, BATAAN, PAMPANGA, METRO MANILA: Heavy to extreme rains of 100 mm or more will be experienced today until late tonight....with Tropical Storm Force Winds of 65 kph or more...and up to Typhoon Force Winds of more than 120 kph near the center of Rammasun. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against strong winds, storm surges, flashfloods and landslides.
SOUTHERN NUEVA ECIJA, TARLAC, ZAMBALES AND PANGASINAN: Heavy to extreme rains of 100 mm or more will be experienced today until late this evening...with Tropical Storm Force Winds of 65 kph or more...and up to Typhoon Force Winds of more than 120 kph near the center of Rammasun. Residents living along the hazard-prone areas are advised to seek shelter and take precautionary measures against strong winds, storm surges, flashfloods and landslides.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT.
Location: Over Tagaytay City (near 14.1N 121.0E)
About: 45 km south of Metro Manila...or 110 km southeast of Subic, Zambales
Maximum Sustained Winds (1-min avg): 165 kph near the center...Gustiness: 205 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 200 to 400 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Size (in diameter): 555 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 95 kilometers from the center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 28 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest to Northwest @ 18 kph
Towards: Bataan-West Philippine Sea
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TY Rammasun (Glenda) is expected to slow down and move west-northwestward to northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, the typhoon will pass south of Bataan this morning and starts to move across the West Philippine Sea. Rammasun will exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by noontime Thursday...and will continue moving across the South China Sea towards Southern China.
Rammasun is expected to maintain its strength during the next 24 to 36 hours...and will regain strength by 48 hours as it moves across the West Philippine and South China Seas through 48 hours. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 1-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 185 kph (Category 3 Typhoon) by Friday early morning.
The following is the summary of the 2-day forecast outlook on this system:
THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Over the West Philippine Sea...about 240 km west-northwest of Iba, Zambales [2AM JUL 17: 15.6N 117.8E @ 165kph].
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies into a Category 3 Typhoon as it moves across the South China Sea...about 425 km south-southwest of Hong Kong, China [2AM JUL 18: 18.4N 113.6E @ 185kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
ADDITIONAL DISTANCES TECHNICAL INFO
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue Jul 16, 2014
Class/Name: TY Rammasun (Glenda)
Minimum Central Pressure: 956 millibars (hPa)
Location of Eye: Near 14.1º N Lat 121.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 45 km S of Metro Manila
Distance 2: 110 km SE of Subic, Zambales
Distance 3: 165 km SE of Iba, Zambales
Distance 4: 120 km SSE of Tarlac City
Distance 5: 95 km WSW of Lubang Island
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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