Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #007
Name: TYPHOON XANGSANE [MILENYO/18W/0615]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SUN 01 OCTOBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) SUN 01 OCTOBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #022
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Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) SUN 01 OCTOBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #022
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TYPHOON XANGSANE (MILENYO) PREPARING TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER
CENTRAL VIETNAM AS IT WEAKENED INTO A CATEGORY 2 SYSTEM.
...ALL INTERESTS IN VIETNAM, LAOS & CAMBODIA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF XANGSANE.
...ALL INTERESTS IN VIETNAM, LAOS & CAMBODIA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF XANGSANE.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: XANGSANE is expected to make landfall
over Central Vietnam over or near Da Nang on or before 12
PM HK Time today. After making landfall, this typhoon shall
dissipate rapidly over Laos by Monday Oct 02. All interests
in Vietnam, Laos & Cambodia should closely monitor the pro-
gress of Xangsane.
+ EFFECTS: XANGSANE's eyewall has started to enter the coas-
tal cities of Hue and Da Nang, bringing very strong winds
and heavy rains...Inner bands of this typhoon continues
affecting Central Vietnam, while outer bands spreads across
whole of Vietnam and Southern Laos and Southern part of
Hainan. Cloudy skies with passing rains and winds not excee-
ding 50 km/hr will be expected along the affected areas
situated within the outer bands, while increasing winds of
more than 50 km/hr an be expected over the inner bands.
Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 6 to 8 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves can
Coastal Storm Surge flooding of 6 to 8 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves can
be expected near and to the north or east of where the center
of Xangsane makes landfall in Vietnam today.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/91W/
1004 mb) over the Caroline Islands remains large but still
disorganized and it was located about 1,225 km East of Le-
gazpi City (13.0N 135.0E)...moving WNW @ 19 kph over the
past 12 hours. This system will be closely monitored for
possible development into a Tropical Cyclone within a day
of Xangsane makes landfall in Vietnam today.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/91W/
1004 mb) over the Caroline Islands remains large but still
disorganized and it was located about 1,225 km East of Le-
gazpi City (13.0N 135.0E)...moving WNW @ 19 kph over the
past 12 hours. This system will be closely monitored for
possible development into a Tropical Cyclone within a day
or two. Kindly check out the latest Western Pacific sate-
llite image by clicking this link.
llite image by clicking this link.
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 01 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 16.0º N...LONGITUDE 109.3º E
DISTANCE 1: 120 KM (65 NM) EAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 2: 190 KM (102 NM) ESE OF HUE, VIETNAM
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: VIETNAM-LAOS
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 630 KM (340 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 26 FEET (7.9 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HKT SUN OCTOBER 01
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A.
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 OCT: 16.1N 107.9E / 120-150 KPH / WEST @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 02 OCT: 16.0N 106.0E / 55-75 KPH / WEST @ 17 KPH
DISTANCE 3: 245 KM (132 NM) SOUTH OF SANYA, HAINAN IS.
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 17 KM/HR (09 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: VIETNAM-LAOS
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 630 KM (340 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 26 FEET (7.9 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HKT SUN OCTOBER 01
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 24 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A.
12 & 24 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 OCT: 16.1N 107.9E / 120-150 KPH / WEST @ 17 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 02 OCT: 16.0N 106.0E / 55-75 KPH / WEST @ 17 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 01 OCTOBER POSITION: 16.0N 109.7E.
^A SLIGHT POLEWARD TRACK OBSERVED THE LAST 06 HOURS WITH
TY XANGSANE IS NOT EXPECTED TO PERSIST. THE SYSTEM IS
STILL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE
NORTH WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE TO STEER THE SYSTEM TOWARDS
VIETNAM TO THE WEST...(more info)
>> XANGSANE {pronounced: xang~sa}, meaning: Elephant.
Name contributed by: Laos
____________
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY XANGSANE (MILENYO)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY XANGSANE (MILENYO)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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