Monday, October 02, 2006

TD 19W (NENENG) accelerates over Philippine Sea... [Update #002]


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #002
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W [NENENG] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 02 OCTOBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) MON 02 OCTOBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #002
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NENENG) HAS BEEN RELOCATED
SOUTHWEST OF ITS PREVIOUS POSITION, HOWEVER, CONFI-
DENCE IS NOT YET CLEAR DUE TO ITS BROAD NATURE OF
ITS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST
AND REMAINS A THREAT TO LUZON.


...THIS DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY A 65-KM/HR TROPICAL
STORM BASED ON PAGASA'S SIX-HOURLY WARNINGS...ALL
INTERESTS IN NORTHERN LUZON, BATANES, TAIWAN & OKI-
NAWA-RYUKYU ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PRO-
GRESS OF THIS DEPRESSION.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 19W is expected to turn more
NW'ly to NNW'ly for the next 24 hrs and strengthen
into a 75-km/hr Tropical Storm...The 2 to 3-day
medium range forecasts shows the system moving North-
ward in the direction of Okinawa-Ryukyu Area with sus-
tained winds of 100 km/hr


+ EFFECTS: 19W's large circulation continues to approach
Eastern Philippines...The Western Outer Bands of this
depression are expected to reach Bicol Region, Samar,
Leyte & Surigao Provinces today. This will bring mostly
cloudy skies with light to moderate rainfall & winds of
not more than 50 km/hr
.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 02 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 15.3º N...LONGITUDE 130.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 650 KM (350 NM) NE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES
DISTANCE 2: 765 KM (415 NM) ENE OF NAGA CITY
DISTANCE 3: 970 KM (525 NM) ENE OF METRO MANILA
DISTANCE 4: 860 KM (465 NM) ESE OF CASIGURAN, AURORA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 31 KM/HR (17 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: TAIWAN-OKINAWA AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 1,000 KM (540 NM)/VERY LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 14 FEET (4.2 METERS)
VIEW T2K TRACKING MAP: 5 AM HKT MON OCTOBER 01
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 02 OCT: 15.8N 129.0E / 65-85 KPH / NW @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 03 OCT: 16.8N 128.1E / 75-95 KPH / NW @ 13 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 04 OCT: 19.0N 127.3E / 95-120 KPH / NNW @ 11 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 02 OCTOBER POSITION: 15.1N 130.4E.
^..
.(more info)

_______________________________________________________________________

PAGASA CURRENT POSITION, MOVEMENT AND INTENSITY (10-min. ave.): 
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 02 OCTOBER: 15.2N 130.5E / WNW @ 15 KPH / 65 kph

:: For the complete PAGASA bulletin, kindly visit their website 
   at:
http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/wb/tcupdate.shtml
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 19W (NENENG)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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