Friday, October 27, 2006

TD 22W - Update #001


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #001
Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W [PRE-PAENG] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) FRI 27 OCTOBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) FRI 27 OCTOBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #001
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (PRE-PAENG) NEWLY FORMED OVER
PHILIPPINE SEA...INTENSIFYING AND NOW THREATENS BICOL
REGION AND QUEZON PROVINCES
.


...ALL INTERESTS IN THE BICOL REGION, SAMAR AND QUEZON
PROVINCES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 22W is expected to accelerate WNW and
intensify rapidly for the next 24 hours due to favorable
environment along its path. The 2 to 3-day Medium Range
Forecast shows 22W becoming a minimal Category 1 Typhoon
as it passes very close to the North of Catanduanes &
Camarines Provinces by Sunday, Oct 29 and shall make land-
fall over the Southern Sierra Madre Mountains or just south
of Baler, Aurora by early Monday morning (Oct 30). Watch
for more forecast outlook every 6 hours, as its track may
change later


+ EFFECTS: The system's outer bands is expected to arrive
over the Bicol Region & Samar Provinces sometime tomorrow.
Please take all necessary precautions and start boarding
up as this system may cause considerable damage to its
projected path
.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Moderate to strong Northeas-
terly Windflow embedded within a weak tropical disturbance
(LPA) will continue to bring widespread rains and winds
across Northern Luzon.


Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 27 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 12.7º N...LONGITUDE 133.0º E
DISTANCE 1: 945 KM (510 NM) ESE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES
DISTANCE 2: 1,010 KM (545 NM) ESE OF LEGAZPI CITY
DISTANCE 3: 1,065 KM (575 NM) ESE OF NAGA CITY
DISTANCE 4: 1,305 KM (705 NM) ESE OF METRO MANILA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 55 KM/HR (30 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 75 KM/HR (40 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1000 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 20 KM/HR (20 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: BICOL REGION-QUEZON AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 250 KM (135 NM)/SMALL
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 11 FEET (3.3 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 5 AM PST FRI OCTOBER 27
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 72 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 27 OCT: 13.0N 131.3E / 65-85 KPH / W @ 20 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 28 OCT: 13.3N 129.0E / 85-100 KPH / WNW @ 20 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 OCT: 14.3N 124.9E / 110-140 KPH / WNW @ 17 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 27 OCTOBER POSITION: 12.6N 133.6E.
^..
.(more info)

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT T2K TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TD 22W (UNNAMED)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   
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