Monday, October 16, 2006

TS SOULIK (21W) - Final Update


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #014 **FINAL**
Name: TYPHOON SOULIK [21W/0618] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 16 OCTOBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #028 (FINAL)
_______________________________________________________________________
 
 
SOULIK (21W) WEAKENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...TO BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL IN 12 HOURS.

...THIS IS THE FINAL UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM. 

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: SOULIK is expected to become 
Extratropical Cyclone later today


+ EFFECTS: N/A.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The two Tropical Disturbances
(LPAs) has been disorganized to the NW of Guam and over
Micronesia (in the vicinity of Chuuk) over the past 12
hours. The first disturbance (92W/1006 mb) was relocated
about 1,930 km ENE of Bicol Region (15.5N 142.0E)...while
the second disturbance (93W/1006 mb) was located about
1,060 km SE of Guam (7.0N 152.0E)...both systems have wind
speeds of 30 km/hr. These disturbances will be monitored
closely for possible development into Tropical Cyclones
within the next 2 to 4 days.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!

_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 16 OCTOBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 33.1º N...LONGITUDE 148.3º E
DISTANCE 1: 1,145 KM (618 NM) NE OF IWO JIMA
DISTANCE 2: 840 KM (453 NM) ESE OF TOKYO, JAPAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 95 KM/HR (50 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 987 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NE @ 50 KM/HR (27 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 815 KM (440 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 18 FEET (5.4 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JST MON OCTOBER 16
TSR WIND PROBABILITIESCURRENT TO 12 HRS LEAD
  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 16 OCT: 35.4N 153.5E / 75 KPH [ET]

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 16 OCTOBER POSITION: 32.3N 146.5E.
^TS SOULIK (21W) IS NOW SHOWING SIGNS OF ITS EXTRATROPICAL
NATURE INCLUDING LOSS OF CENTRAL CONVECTION AND ASYMMETRICAL
STRUCTURE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR THE SIGNS OF REGENERATION
..
.(more info)

>> SOULIK {pronounced: sow~lick}, meaning: Traditional Pohnpei 
   Chief's title. Name contributed by: Micronesia

_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT WUNDERGROUND.COM TRACKING CHART:


_______________________________________________________________________________________

 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted.
For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit:
http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.

__________________________________________________________________________________________

>>
To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

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__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TS SOULIK (21W)...go visit
our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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