Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #005
Name: TYPHOON XANGSANE [MILENYO/18W/0615]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 30 SEPTEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) SAT 30 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #018
Note: We apologize for the non-updates during the passage of this typhoon which disrupted
power and communications utilities. The eye of the storm passed some 30 km south
of my station. Luckily, our servers are located in California and Canada for non-disruption
of website updates.
_______________________________________________________________________
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) SAT 30 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #018
Note: We apologize for the non-updates during the passage of this typhoon which disrupted
power and communications utilities. The eye of the storm passed some 30 km south
of my station. Luckily, our servers are located in California and Canada for non-disruption
of website updates.
____________
XANGSANE (MILENYO) CONSIDERED ONE OF THE MOST DESTRUCTIVE
EVER TO STRIKE THE PHILIPPINES SINCE SUPER TYPHOON ANGELA
EVER TO STRIKE THE PHILIPPINES SINCE SUPER TYPHOON ANGELA
(ROSING) OF NOVEMBER 03, 1995...IS NOW DANGEROUSLY MOVING
CLOSER TO VIETNAM.
...ALL INTERESTS IN VIETNAM SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF XANGSANE.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
T2K POST ANALYSIS DATA:
The Eye passed about 30 km SSW of my T2k Weather Station (Naga City)
around 11 PM Wed Sep 27. The station recorded highest wind gust of 106
km/hr blowing from the North at 11:16 PM (15:16 GMT) & low barometer
(atmospheric pressure) of 986.3 millibars from 10:45 to 10:59 PM. View
data here: text & graph.The total rainfall recorded for the past 48 hrs
was 159.6 mm.
**Our T2K Mobile Service (SMS) resumes service after electric power has
been restored. T2K website is being updated via PLDT WeROAM &
BayanTel DSL.
------------...ALL INTERESTS IN VIETNAM SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF XANGSANE.
------------
The Eye passed about 30 km SSW of my T2k Weather Station (Naga City)
around 11 PM Wed Sep 27. The station recorded highest wind gust of 106
km/hr blowing from the North at 11:16 PM (15:16 GMT) & low barometer
(atmospheric pressure) of 986.3 millibars from 10:45 to 10:59 PM. View
data here: text & graph.The total rainfall recorded for the past 48 hrs
was 159.6 mm.
**Our T2K Mobile Service (SMS) resumes service after electric power has
been restored. T2K website is being updated via PLDT WeROAM &
BayanTel DSL.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: XANGSANE is forecast to continue
tracking West to WSW across the South China Sea and make
landfall over Central Vietnam just south of Da Nhang early
tomorrow morning (Oct 1). After making landfall, this
typhoon shall dissipate rapidly along the Laos-Cambodia-
Vietnam border tomorrow afternoon. All interests in Viet-
nam, Laos & Cambodia should closely monitor the progress
of Xangsane.
+ EFFECTS: XANGSANE's outer circulation remains large with
its outer bands spreading across Hainan Island and Vietnam
...Inner bands of this typhoon expected to arrive along the
east coast of Vietnam sometime this afternoon or tonight.
Cloudy skies with passing rains and winds not exceeding 50
km/hr will be expected along the affected areas situated
within the outer bands. Meanwhile, the shipping routes over
the South China Sea will continue to be disrupted due to the
expanding circulation of XANGSANE. Improving weather condi-
tions can be expected today over Western Luzon and Visayas
as the storm moves farther away from the Philippines. Coas-
tal Storm Surge flooding of 13 to 18 feet above normal tide
levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves can
be expected near and to the north or east of where the
center of Xangsane makes landfall in Vietnam early tomorrow.
+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/91W/
1004 mb) over the Caroline Islands has remained disorganized
over the past 6 hours, however its circulation continue to
expand. It was located about 1,590 km ESE of Catarman, Nor-
thern Samar (11.8N 139.2E)...moving WSW @ 7 km/hr during
the past 12 hours. This system will be closely monitored
for possible development into a Tropical Cyclone within
a day or two. Kindly check out the latest Western Pacific satellite image
by clicking this link.
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 30 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 15.5º N...LONGITUDE 112.6º E
DISTANCE 1: 475 KM (257 NM) ESE OF DA NANG, VIETNAM
DISTANCE 2: 545 KM (295 NM) ESE OF HUE, VIETNAM
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 260 KM/HR (140 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY FOUR (4)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 927 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: VIETNAM-LAOS
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 850 KM (460 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 25 FEET (7.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HKT SAT SEPTEMBER 30
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NOW LOWERED.
12, 24 & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 30 SEP: 15.5N 110.9E / 215-260 KPH / WEST @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 OCT: 15.3N 109.1E / 165-205 KPH / WEST @ 17 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 OCT: 14.9N 107.7E / 95-120 KPH / WSW @ 13 KPH
DISTANCE 3: 910 KM (490 NM) WNW OF METRO MANILA
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 215 KM/HR (115 KTS)PEAK WIND GUSTS: 260 KM/HR (140 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY FOUR (4)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 927 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WEST @ 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: VIETNAM-LAOS
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 850 KM (460 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 25 FEET (7.6 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HKT SAT SEPTEMBER 30
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: NOW LOWERED.
12, 24 & 36 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 30 SEP: 15.5N 110.9E / 215-260 KPH / WEST @ 19 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 01 OCT: 15.3N 109.1E / 165-205 KPH / WEST @ 17 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 01 OCT: 14.9N 107.7E / 95-120 KPH / WSW @ 13 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 30 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 15.5N 113.2E.
^TY XANGSANE CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER SOUTHERN CHINA...
(more info)
>> XANGSANE {pronounced: xang~sa}, meaning: Elephant.
Name contributed by: Laos
____________
_______________________________________________________________________
RECENT WUNDERGROUND.
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY XANGSANE (MILENYO)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY XANGSANE (MILENYO)...
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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