Bushman's Typhoon Blog: Tropical Depression (TD) 15W

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #01

Name: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W [UNNAMED]

Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) WED 13 SEPTEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) WED 13 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #001
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THE STRONG TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SOUTH OF SOUTHERN CHINA HAS
STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (UNNAMED)...EX-

PECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER WESTERN GUANGDONG IN 24 HOURS.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: 15W is expected to continue moving WNW
for the next 24 to 36 hours and shall move inland over

Western Guangding tomorrow morning (Sep 14) just to the
ENE of Zhanjiang, China then dissipate.

+ EFFECTS: This depression is currently affecting Western
Guangdong including Hainan Island, Macau and Hong Kong.
Rains and winds can be expected over the mentioned
areas today.

+ CURRENT MONSOON INTENSITY: Southwest (SW) Monsoon affec-
ting the coast of Eastern Vietnam. Cloudy skies, passing
rains & Southwesterly winds of 20 to 30 km/hr with higher
gust can be expected.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast outlook,
effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical cyclone watch
changes every 06 to 12 hours!
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TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 13 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 20.8º N...LONGITUDE 113.1º E
DISTANCE 1: 200 KM (108 NM) SW OF HONG KONG, CHINA

DISTANCE 2: 160 KM (85 NM) SSW OF MACAU, CHINA

DISTANCE 3: 285 KM (155 NM) ESE OF ZHANJIANG, CHINA

DISTANCE 4: 300 KM (162 NM) ENE OF HAIKOU, HAINAN IS., CHINA

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 45 KM/HR (25 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 65 KM/HR (35 KTS)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 1002 MILLIBARS (hPa)
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 09 FEET (2.7 METERS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW @ 20 KM/HR (11 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN GUANGDONG, CHINA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 250 KM (135 NM)/SMALL
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 2 AM HKT TIME WED SEPTEMBER 13
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 36 HRS LEAD

PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 36 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 13 SEPTEMBER: 21.2N 111.9E / 55-75 KPH
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 14 SEPTEMBER: 21.7N 110.7E / 45-65 KPH

> 2 PM (06 GMT) 14 SEPTEMBER: 22.3N 109.7E / 35-55 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 13 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 20.6N 113.5E.
^TD 15W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL
STEERING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE CENTERED NEAR TAIWAN...
(more info)

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RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:

Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
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RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:

> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
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NOTES:

^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.

* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh.....noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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our website @:

> http://www.maybagyo.com/storm2.shtml

> http://www.typhoon2000.ph/storm2.shtml

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