Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #004
Name: TYPHOON YAGI [16W/0614]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) TUE 19 SEPTEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 19 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #008
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Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) TUE 19 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #008
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YAGI (16W) BECOMES THE 9TH TYPHOON OF 2006...DRIFTING
SOUTHERLY.
SOUTHERLY.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: YAGI is expected to drift SW'ly for
the next 12 hours then intensify as it heads Westward
tomorrow. By Thursday morning (Sep 21), YAGI shall take
a turn towards the WNW and accelerate in the direction
of Iwo Jima Island. The 3 to 5-day (Sep 22-24) Long Range
Forecast shows the system moving WNW, turning more NW'ly,
passing close NE of Iwo Jima Island Saturday morning (Sep
23) & approaching the Southern Coast of Honshu Sunday
afternoon (Sep 24). All interests in Iwo Jima & Marianas
should closely monitor the progress of this developing
tropical cyclone.
+ EFFECTS: At this moment, YAGI is not yet affecting any
Western Pacific islands.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 20.3º N...LONGITUDE 159.4º E
DISTANCE 1: 710 KM (385 NM) SE OF MARCUS ISLAND
DISTANCE 2: 1,555 KM (840 NM) NE OF SAIPAN, CNMI
DISTANCE 3: 1,730 KM (935 NM) NE OF HAGATNA, GUAM, CNMI
DISTANCE 4: 1,925 KM (1,040 NM) ESE OF IWO JIMA ISLAND
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 120 KM/HR (65 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 976 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: SE @ 02 KM/HR (01 KT)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN PACIFIC
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 27 FEET (8.2 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JST TIME TUE SEPTEMBER 19
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 20.0N 159.1E / 140-165 KPH
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 19.8N 157.9E / 140-165 KPH
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 150 KM/HR (80 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY ONE (1)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 976 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: SE @ 02 KM/HR (01 KT)
GENERAL DIRECTION: WESTERN PACIFIC
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 27 FEET (8.2 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JST TIME TUE SEPTEMBER 19
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
> 2 PM (06 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER: 20.0N 159.1E / 140-165 KPH
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 20 SEPTEMBER: 19.8N 157.9E / 140-165 KPH
> 2 AM (18 GMT) 21 SEPTEMBER: 20.0N 153.3E / 150-185 KPH
REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 20.4N 159.5E.
^TY YAGI IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY TRACK IN A SOUTHERLY DIREC-
TION AS IT CONTINUES IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT. A SUB-
TROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THAT IS REBUILDING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF HONSHU IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN INFLUENCING THE
TRACK OF TY YAGI IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION AFTER
12 HOURS. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT
STEERING MECHANISM PAST 24 HOURS. INCREASED TRACK SPEED
WILL RESULT FROM THE DOMINANT SUBTROPICAL RIDGING...
(more info)
>> YAGI {pronounced: ya~gi}, meaning: Capricornus (goat).
Name contributed by: Japan
____________
____________
RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wundergr
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh..noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY YAGI (16W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY YAGI (16W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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