Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #005
Name: TYPHOON YAGI [16W/0614]
Issued: 7:00 PM MANILA TIME (11:00 GMT) TUE 19 SEPTEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) WED 20 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #010
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Next Update: 7:00 AM (23:00 GMT) WED 20 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #010
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TYPHOON YAGI (16W) RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO CATEGORY TWO
WITH WINDS OF 165 KM/HR...DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD.
WITH WINDS OF 165 KM/HR...DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD.
+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: YAGI is expected to move Westward for
the next 2 days & intensify. By Thursday morning (Sep 21),
YAGI shall turn more to the WNW and move in the direction
of Iwo Jima Island. The 3 to 5-day (Sep 22-24) Long Range
Forecast shows the system moving NW'ly, turning more Nor-
therly and passing some 185 km to the NE of Iwo Jima Is-
land Friday evening (Sep 23) & approaching the Southeas-
tern Coast of Honshu Sunday afternoon (Sep 24) as a strong
Category 4 Typhoon (est. 215 km/hr). All interests in
Iwo Jima, Northernmost Marianas & Southeastern Japan
should closely monitor the progress of this developing
tropical cyclone.
+ EFFECTS: At this moment, YAGI is not yet affecting any
Western Pacific islands.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
____________
TIME/DATE: 5:00 PM MANILA TIME (09:00 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 20.0º N...LONGITUDE 158.3º E
DISTANCE 1: 650 KM (350 NM) SE OF MARCUS ISLAND
DISTANCE 2: 1,435 KM (775 NM) NE OF SAIPAN, CNMI
DISTANCE 3: 1,615 KM (870 NM) NE OF HAGATNA, GUAM, CNMI
DISTANCE 4: 1,825 KM (985 NM) ESE OF IWO JIMA ISLAND
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 165 KM/HR (90 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WSW @ 05 KM/HR (03 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: IWO JIMA AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 32 FEET (9.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 PM JST TIME TUE SEPTEMBER 19
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 20 SEP: 19.9N 157.2E / 175-215 KPH / ..........
2 PM (06 GMT) 20 SEP: 19.9N 155.1E / 185-230 KPH / W @ 19 KPH
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 205 KM/HR (110 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY TWO (2)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 954 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WSW @ 05 KM/HR (03 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: IWO JIMA AREA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 590 KM (320 NM)/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 32 FEET (9.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 PM JST TIME TUE SEPTEMBER 19
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 AM (18 GMT) 20 SEP: 19.9N 157.2E / 175-215 KPH / ..........
2 PM (06 GMT) 20 SEP: 19.9N 155.1E / 185-230 KPH / W @ 19 KPH
2 PM (06 GMT) 21 SEP: 20.9N 149.2E / 150-185 KPH / WNW @ 28 KPH
REMARKS: 2 PM (06 GMT) 19 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 20.0N 158.7E.
^TY YAGI HAS TAKEN A TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST UNDER THE INFLU-
ENCE OF A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF
HONSHU, WHICH HAS BECOME THE PRIMARY STEERING MECHANISM. A
GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
48 HOURS, AFTER WHICH TY YAGI WILL TAKE A MORE NORTHWEST-
WARD TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STEERING
RIDGE. AS THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD, THE STORM IS EXPECTED
TO EXPERIENCE AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EARLY IN THE FORE-
CAST PERIOD...(more info)
>> YAGI {pronounced: ya~gi}, meaning: Capricornus (goat).
Name contributed by: Japan
____________
____________
RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:
Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wundergr
________________________
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org )
__________________________________________________________________________________________
NOTES:
> Image source: Digital-Typhoon.
^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their
latest warning.
latest warning.
* - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals,
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
http://www.srh...noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________________________________
For the complete details on TY YAGI (16W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
# 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas
being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals,
visit: http://www.typhoon2
** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near
its center.
____________
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms
used on this update visit the ff:
http://typhoon2000.
http://www.nhc.
http://www.srh.
http://www.srh.
http://www.nhc.
____________
:: Typhoon2000.
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN)
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
For the complete details on TY YAGI (16W)...go visit
our website @:
> http://www.typhoon2
> http://www.maybagyo
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