Saturday, September 23, 2006

Typhoon YAGI (16W) - Update #012

Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #012
Name: TYPHOON YAGI [16W/0614] 
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) SAT 23 SEPTEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (11:00 GMT) SAT 23 SEPTEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #024
_______________________________________________________________________
  
TYPHOON YAGI (16W) NO LONGER SUPER BUT STILL A STRONG
AND DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 SYSTEM...HEADING NORTH FARTHER
AWAY FROM IWO JIMA-BONIN ISLANDS AREA.

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: YAGI is expected to recurve Northeast-
ward for the next 24 hours & continue weakening. The 2-day
(Sep 25) Medium Range Forecast shows the system accelera-
ting towards the NE to ENE towards the cooler West Pacific
Ocean. This typhoon will enter an environment of increa-
sing wind shear and lower sea surface temperatures (SSTs),
thus, continued weakening can be expected and eventually
losing its tropical characteristics by Monday morning
(Sep 25), becoming an Extratropical Cyclone. All interests
in Coastal Honshu should continue closely monitoring the
progress of this typhoon. 

+ EFFECTS: Only the typhoon's Outer Bands are affecting
Iwo Jima and Bonin Islands Improving weather conditions
will be expected over the said islands by tonight as YAGI
moves farther away. Dangerous storm tides with large ba-
ttering waves will prevail along the coastal areas of
Iwo Jima & Bonin Islands & Kyushu, Japan today until
tomorrow...Coastal Storm Surge flooding of greater than
13 to 18 feet is most likely to occur near YAGI's core.

+ TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCH: The Tropical Disturbance (LPA/
96W/1006 mb) over the South China Sea remains active as
it nears the coast of Vietnam. This system was located
about 885 km West of Manila (13.9N 112.8E)...drifting
West w/ winds of 35 km/hr. All interests in Spratlys
and Vietnam should monitor the progress of this develo-
ping disturbance.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
_______________________________________________________________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 23 SEPTEMBER
LOCATION OF EYE: LATITUDE 28.1º N...LONGITUDE 141.9º E
DISTANCE 1: 370 KM (200 NM) NNE OF IWO JIMA ISLAND
DISTANCE 2:  870 KM (470 NM) SSE OF TOKYO, JAPAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 215 KM/HR (115 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 260 KM/HR (140 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: CATEGORY FOUR (4)
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 927 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: NORTH @ 24 KM/HR (13 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: COASTAL HONSHU
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 740 KM (400 NM)/LARGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 40 FEET (12.1 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 3 AM JST TIME SAT SEPTEMBER 23
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 48 HRS LEAD  
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A
           
12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 23 SEP: 30.2N 142.3E / 195-240 KPH / NNE @ 28 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 24 SEP: 33.0N 144.2E / 165-205 KPH / NNE @ 30 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 25 SEP: 38.9N 155.3E / 110-140 KPH / NE @ 59 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 23 SEPTEMBER POSITION: 27.4N 141.8E.
^TY YAGI HAS BEGUN TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AS IT NEARS
THE AXIS OF A STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CENTERED SOUTHEAST
OF HONSHU. TY YAGI IS FORECAST TO REACH THE AXIS OF THE
STEERING RIDGE BY 12 HOURS AND BEGIN TRACKING NORTH-NORTH-
EASTWARD. TY YAGI IS THEN EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AND BEGIN
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION NEAR 36 HOURS. EXTRATROPICAL TRAN-
SITION WILL BE COMPLETE BY TAU 72...(more info)

>> YAGI {pronounced: ya~gi}, meaning: Capricornus (goat). 
   Name contributed by: Japan
_______________________________________________________________________
_______________________________________________________________________

RECENT WEATHER UNDERGROUND TRACKING CHART:


Track Source: The Weather Underground Tropical Page (http://www.wunderground.com/tropical)
_______________________________________________________________________________________
 
RECENT MTSAT-1R SATELLITE IMAGE:


> Image source:  Digital-Typhoon.org (Nat'l. Institute of Informatics) (http://www.digital-typhoon.org)
__________________________________________________________________________________________

NOTES:
 
  ^ - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their 
      latest warning.
 
  * - Based on PAGASA's Philippine Storm Warning Signals, 
      # 4 being the highest. Red letters indicate new areas 
      being hoisted. For more explanations on these signals, 
      visit: http://www.typhoon2000.ph/signals.htm

 ** - Based on the Tropical Cyclone's Wave Height near 
      its center.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms 
   used on this update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.srh........noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
__________________________________________________________________________________________

:: Typhoon2000.com (T2K) Mobile >> Powered by: Synermaxx
Receive the latest storm updates directly to your mobile phones! To know more:
Send T2K HELP to: 2800 (GLOBE & TM) | 216 (SMART & TNT) | 2288 (SUN) 
Note: Globe & Smart charges P2.50 per message, while Sun at P2.00.
__________________________________________________________________________________________

For the complete details on TY YAGI (16W)...go visit
our website @:

> http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at: 
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

__._,_.___
Recent Activity
Visit Your Group
SPONSORED LINKS
Take a Trip

Find Great Deals

Yahoo! Travel

makes it easy

Y! Toolbar

Get it Free!

easy 1-click access

to your groups.

Yahoo! Groups

Start a group

in 3 easy steps.

Connect with others.

.

__,_._,___

Posted by MJ Klein at 10:09

No comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)