Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Tropical Depression 11W (HENRY) Final Update


Tropical Depression 11W (HENRY) Final Update





Issued at: 6:30 AM PhT (22:30 GMT) Tuesday, 17 July 2018
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Depression 11W (HENRY) has reached the West Philippine Sea after crossing the Babuyan Island Group last night, and will move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) later this morning.

*This is the Final Update on this tropical cyclone.

24-hr OutlookTD 11W (HENRY) is expected to become a Tropical Storm (TS) later today and will move westward at an accelerated speed of 43 km/hr. It will be approaching the eastern shores of Hainan Island by early Wednesday morning (July 18) as a 75-km/hr storm.  

The combined effects of enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat), TD 11W (HENRY), and LPA 94W will continue to bring moderate to heavy scattered to occasional rain showers and thunderstorms across Northern, Central & Southern Luzon; MiMaRoPa; Bicol Region; Metro Manila; & Western Visayas.

Where is 11W (HENRY)?As of 5:00 AM PhT today, July 17…2100 GMT. The center was located over the western part of the Balintang Channel (near 19.1N 120.0E), about 104 km northwest of Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte or 156 km west of Calayan Island, Cagayan.
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center…Gustiness: 75 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)West-Northwest @ 23 kph, towards the West Philippine Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)::  None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 to 100 mm expected):
>> Extreme Northern & Northwestern Luzon – Today. 

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

TUESDAY AFTERNOON: Intensifies into a Tropical Storm (TS) after exiting the PAR, moving westward across the northern part of the South China Sea…about 363 km south-southeast of Hong Kong, China [2PM July 17: 19.4N 115.5E @ 65kph].  Confidence LevelMEDIUM.

WEDNESDAY EARLY MORNING: Intensifies slightly as it bears down the eastern coast of Hainan Island (Southern China)…about 445 km southwest of Hong Kong, China [2AM July 18: 19.3N 111.4E @ 75kph].  Confidence LevelMEDIUM.

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 85 km (Very Small/Midget)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional InformationTime/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Tue July 17, 2018
Location of Center/Eye: Near 19.1º N Lat 120.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 118 km NNW of Laoag  City, Ilocos Norte
Distance 2: 241 km NW of Tabuk City, Kalinga
Distance 3: 259 km SW of Basco, Batanes
Distance 4: 280 km N of San Fernando City, La Union
Distance 5: 516 km NNW of Metro Manila
24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 19.3N 111.4E (TS)
48 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): None
72 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): None

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data.. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: David Michael V. Padua for WeatherPhilippines



Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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