Saturday, July 21, 2018

Severe Tropical Storm AMPIL (INDAY) Final Update


Severe Tropical Storm AMPIL (INDAY) Final Update


Issued at: 7:00 PM PhT (11:00 GMT) Friday, 20 July 2018
Current Status and Outlook

Tropical Storm AMPIL (INDAY) has rapidly intensified into a Severe Tropical Storm (STS) while over the northern part of the North Philippine Sea. It has moved northwestward for the past 12 hours. 

*This is the Final Update on this tropical cyclone.

24-hr Outlook: TS Ampil (Inday) will exit the Philippine area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow Saturday morning (July 21). It is expected to slightly intensify and will move over the East China Sea, tomorrow Saturday afternoon, with a forward speed of 28 km/hr.  

The combined effects of enhanced Southwest Monsoon (Habagat), Monsoon Trough, LPA 98W, & STS Ampil (Inday) will continue to bring light to moderate to at times heavy or extreme scattered to occasional rain showers and thunderstorms across the western sections of Northern & Central Luzon.

Where is AMPIL (INDAY)?As of 5:00 PM PhT today, July 20…0900 GMT. The center was located over the northern part of the North Philippine Sea (near 23.6°N 130..2°E), about 892 km east of Taipei, Taiwan or 921 km east-northeast of Itbayat, Batanes
How strong is it?

Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 95 kph near the center…Gustiness: 120 kph.

Past Movement (06 hrs)Northwest @ 28 kph, towards the East China Sea.
Potential Philippine Landfall Area(s)::  None.
What Philippine areas will be directly affected?Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 to 100 mm expected):
>> None

Damaging Winds (gusts of more than 100 km/hr expected):
>> None.

Potential Storm Surge/Coastal Flooding Areas+:: None.
1-Day Forecast Outlook Summary**

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Exits PAR as it slightly intensifies as a Severe Tropical Storm. Approaching East China sea while moving on a northwestward track…560 km ENE of Taipei, Taiwan [2PM July 21: 27.6°N 126.4°E @ 110kph].  Confidence Level: MEDIUM

**Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track have an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively… while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 km/have per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Other Storm Info> 24 hr. Rain Accumulation (across its circulation): 25 to 200 mm [Light to Heavy]

> Minimum Central Pressure: 985 millibars (hPa)

> Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1100 km (Medium)

> Area of Damaging Winds (100 kph or more wind gusts): None.

Additional InformationTime/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Fri July 20, 2018
Location of Center/Eye: Near 23.6ºN Lat 130.2ºE Lon
Distance 1: 974 km E of Taichung, Taiwan
Distance 2: 1022 km E of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
Distance 3: 1069 km NE of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 1111 km NE of Tuguegarao  City, Cagayan
Distance 5: 1395 km NE of Metro Manila
24 hr. Forecast Coordinates (Class): 27.6ºN 126.4ºE (STS)

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.

Issued by: Redmund G. Nacario for WeatherPhilippines


Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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