Wednesday, December 03, 2014

Typhoon HAGUPIT Update #002


for Wednesday, 03 December 2014 [7:31 AM PhT]


Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Wednesday 03 December 2014
Next Update: Wednesday Evening, 03 December 2014

HAGUPIT rapidly strengthens into a 150-km/hr Typhoon as it approaches Yap, Ulithi and the other smaller islands of Western Micronesa...remains a threat to Eastern Philippines particularly Eastern Visayas this weekend.

Residents and visitors along Western Micronesia, Republic of Palau, Eastern Philippines (from Eastern Luzon down to Eastern Mindanao) should closely monitor the development of Hagupit.

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.

None for the next 2 to 3 days.


As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT...Dec 03.

Classification/Name: TY Hagupit
Location: Over the southwestern part of the Caroline Islands (near 7.2N 141.3E)
About: 435 km southeast of Yap Island...or 1,670 km east-southeast of Siargao Island
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 150 kph near the center...Gustiness: 185 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 100 to 300 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 959 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,070 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 95 km from the Center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 31 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Northwest @ 31 kph
Towards: Western Micronesia


TY Hagupit is expected to continue moving in a straight west-northwest track throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, TY Hagupit will be passing close to the south of Yap Island late this afternoon...and will enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Thursday morning. By early Friday morning, the typhoon shall be traversing the southeastern part of the Philippine Sea.

TY Hagupit is expected to continue gaining strength throughout the forecast outlook as it moves over the warmer sea surface temperatures (SSTs) of the Philippine Sea. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing rapidly to 215 kph (at near-Super Typhoon strength) by early Friday morning.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

THURSDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to intensify as it is about to enter the PAR...about 1,065 km east-southeast of Siargao Island [2AM DEC 04: 9.3N 135.8E @ 185kph].
FRIDAY EARLY MORNING: Strengthens to near-Super Typhoon strength while moving across the southeastern part of the Philippine Sea...about 625 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar [2AM DEC 05: 10.8N 131.4E @ 215kph].
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Attains Super Typhoon strength as it slows down over the Philippine Sea, closer to Eastern Samar...about 370 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [2AM DEC 06: 11.4N 128.8E @ 220kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Wed Dec 03, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 7.2º N Lat 141.3º E Lon
Distance 1: 695 km E of P.A.R.
Distance 2: 750 km E of Koror, Palau
Distance 3: 800 km SSW of Hagatna, Guam
Distance 4: 1760 km ESE of Surigao City
Distance 5: 1765 km SE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar









>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

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Posted by: " (Michael V. Padua)" <>
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