for Wednesday, 31 December 2014 [3:00 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JANGMI (SENIANG) UPDATE NUMBER 011
Issued at: 2:30 AM PhT (18:00 GMT) Wednesday 31 December 2014
Next Update: Wednesday Mid-Morning, 31 December 2014
JANGMI (SENIANG) has weakened into a Tropical Depression (TD) as it drifted slowly southwestward across the Sulu Sea...expected to reach Southern Palawan on New Year's Eve.
This cyclone will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing cooler, windy and mostly cloudy conditions with occasional slight to moderate rains along the northern and eastern sections of Luzon including the Bicol Region and Northern Visayas..
Residents and visitors along Western Visayas and Palawan. should closely monitor the development of Jangmi (Seniang).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone. RAINFALL
- Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): North-central parts of Palawan including Calamian Group - tonight through Wednesday evening (Dec 31).
- Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Northernmost and South-Central part of Palawan, Eastern portions Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, and Northern Samar - tonight through Wednesday evening (Dec 31).
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Bicol, Southern Quezon, Marinduque, Romblon and Tablas, Western Panay, Calamian Group, portions of Northen part of Samar - tonight through Wednesday evening (Dec 31).
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 11:00 PM PhT yesterday, Dec 30...1500 GMT.
Classification/Name: TS Jangmi (Seniang)
Location: Over the Central part of Sulu Sea (near 9.7N 121.0E)
About: 135 km south of Cuyo Island...or 250 km east of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 55 kph near the center...Gustiness: 75 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 50 to 400 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 900 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: SW @ 7 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Southwest @ 13 kph
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Jangmi (Seniang) is expected to move west-southwest throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, TS Jangmi (Seniang) will slowly traverse the Sulu Sea and shall be crossing Southern Palawan on Wednesday night and shall emerge over the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea by Thursday morning and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) Thursday or Friday.
TS Jangmi (Seniang) is expected to reintensify throughout the forecast period. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 75 kph on Thursday evening.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
WEDNESDAY EVENING: Tracking west-southwest over the Sulu Sea, as it approaches Southern Palawan...gains strength...about 70 km S of Puerto Princesa City [8PM DEC 31: 8.7N 118.6E @ 55kph].
THURSDAY EVENING: Emerges over the West Philippine Sea...gains further strength...about to exit PAR...about 100 km west-northwest of Balabac, Palawan [8PM JAN 01: 8.3N 116.3E @ 75kph].
FRIDAY EVENING: Intensified further while accelerating WSW across the southern part of the South China Sea...about 665 km west-northwest of Brunei [8PM JAN 02: 6.7N 110.0E @ 85kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 11:00 PM PhT Tue Dec 30, 2014
Location of Center: Near 9.7º N Lat 121.0º E Lon
Distance 1: 190 km S of Pamalican Island
Distance 2: 200 km WSW of Kabankalan City
Distance 3: 205 km SE of Taytay City
Distance 4: 250 km WSW of Iloilo City
Distance 5: 230 km WSW of Bacolod City
Distance 6: 265 km SSW of Boracay
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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