Tuesday, December 30, 2014

TS JANGMI (SENIANG) Update #010

 



for Tuesday, 30 December 2014 [9:25 PM PhT]

WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES

TROPICAL STORM JANGMI (SENIANG) UPDATE NUMBER 010
Issued at: 8:00 PM PhT (12:00 GMT) Tuesday 30 December 2014
Next Update: Wednesday Early Morning, 31 December 2014


Tropical Storm JANGMI (SENIANG) cruising across the Sulu Sea with a west-southwest track towards Palawan...expected to reach the island province by late Wednesday afternoon.

This cyclone will continue to enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing cooler, windy and mostly cloudy conditions with occasional slight to moderate rains along the northern and eastern sections of Luzon including the Bicol Region.


Residents and visitors along Western Visayas and Palawan. should closely monitor the development of Jangmi (Seniang).

Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.


CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.


RAINFALL

  • Heavy to Extreme Rains (100 mm or more): Northern and central parts of Palawan including Calamian Group- tonight through Wednesday morning (Dec 31).
  • Heavy Rains (50 mm to 100 mm): Samar Provinces, Eastern parts of Camarines-Albay Provinces and Catanduanes - tonight through Wednesday morning (Dec 31).
  • Moderate to Heavy Rains (30 mm to 50 mm): Rest of Bicol, Southern Quezon, Marinduque, Romblon and Tablas, Northernmost part of Cebu, Mindoro, and Northern Leyt - tonight through Wednesday morning (Dec 31).
WINDS
  • Moderate to Strong Winds (gusts of up to 75 kph): Palawan including Calamian Group of Islands - today through Wednesday afternoon (Dec 31).


CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION

As of 5:00 PM PhT today, Dec 30...0900 GMT.

Classification/Name: TS Jangmi (Seniang)
Location: Over the Sulu Sea (near 10.0N 121.2E)
About: 100 km south-southeast of Cuyo Island...or 250 km east-southeast of San Vicente, Palawan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 65 kph near the center...Gustiness: 85 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near and west of the center): 50 to 400 mm [Moderate to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 996 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 900 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: WSW @ 20 kph
Forecast Movement: West-Southwest @ 13 kph
Towards: Palawan


2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*

TS Jangmi (Seniang) is expected to move west-southwest throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, TS Jangmi (Seniang) will slowly traverse the Sulu Sea tonight through Wednesday afternoon. The storm shall be crossing Southern Palawan on Wednesday night and shall emerge over the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea by Thursday morning and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) Thursday afternoon.

TS Jangmi (Seniang) is expected to strengthen throughout the forecast period. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 85 kph on Thursday.

The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:

WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON: Tracking west-southwest over the Sulu Sea, as it approaches Southern Palawan...gains strength...about 80 km SSE of Puerto Princesa City [2PM DEC 31: 9.0N 118.9E @ 75kph].
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Over the West Philippine Sea intensifying further...exits PAR...about 230 km west of Bataraza, Palawan [2PM JAN 01: 8.5N 115.5E @ 85kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Starts to weaken while accelerating WSW across the southern part of the South China Sea...about 535 km west-northwest of Brunei [2PM JAN 02: 6.4N 110.3E @ 75kph].

*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!


ADDITIONAL DISTANCES

Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Tue Dec 30, 2014
Location of Center: Near 10.0º N Lat 121.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 160 km WSW of Iloilo City
Distance 2: 175 km W of Kabankalan City
Distance 3: 200 km WSW of Bacolod City
Distance 4: 225 km SE of El Nido, Palawan
Distance 5: 275 km ENE of Puerto Princesa City

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CURRENT TRACKING MAP:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20141230122311.gif

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CURRENT UW-CIMSS/MTSAT-2 SATELLITE ANIMATION:

http://weather.com.ph/images/20141230122942.GIF

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CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE
:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/23W/imagery/rbtop0-lalo.gif


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NOTE:

>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:

   
http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm  
   
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
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For the complete details on TS JANGMI (SENIANG)...go visit our website @:

>
http://www.typhoon2000.com
http://www.maybagyo.com

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http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm


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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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