for Friday, 05 December 2014 [7:59 AM PhT]
WEATHER.COM.PH TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATES
SUPER TYPHOON HAGUPIT (RUBY) UPDATE NUMBER 008
Issued at: 7:00 AM PhT (23:00 GMT) Friday 05 December 2014
Next Update: Friday Afternoon, 05 December 2014
Extremely Catastrophic Super Typhoon HAGUPIT (RUBY) continues to gradually weaken as it maintains its west-northwest track across the Philippine Sea...remains a serious threat to Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas. The potential landfall area of this cyclone is along the southern part of Eastern Samar, between 8 PM - 12 MN, Dec 06 (Saturday).
This super typhoon will enhance the Northeast Monsoon (Hanging Amihan) - bringing mostly cloudy and windy conditions and cooler temperatures across Northern and Central Luzon beginning Friday...becoming more frequent with possible occasional slight to moderate rains along eastern sections of Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, and Northern Quezon. The threat of flash floods and landslides are likely in hazard-prone areas especially along river banks and mountain slopes of the affected areas. Residents are advised to take necessary precautions.
Residents and visitors along Southern Luzon, Visayas and Northeastern Mindanao should closely monitor the development of Hagupit (Ruby).
Information based on data collected by WeatherPhilippines Foundation, Inc. shall not be taken as official data. Weather information broadcasted and distributed by PAGASA remains as official data. WeatherPhilippines shall not be responsible for the private use and reliance of its weather information.
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
- Heavy Rains (50-100 mm): Southern Bicol Region incl. Masbate, Eastern Visayas, and Northern Caraga incl. Dinagat and Siargao Islands - beginning Friday Evening (Dec 05). Read more...
- Moderate to Heavy Rains (30-50 mm): Rest of Bicol, Bondoc Peninsula, Northeastern Panay, Northern Negros, Northern and Central Cebu, Bohol, portions of Northern Mindanao, and the Rest of Caraga - beginning Friday evening (Dec 05). Read more...
- Tropical Storm Force Winds (Gusts of 75-100 kph): Eastern Bicol, Eastern and Northern Samar - beginning Saturday morning (Dec 06). Read more...
- Possible coastal storm surge flooding of 4-5.5 m (13-18 ft) above normal tide levels...accompanied by large and dangerous battering waves can be expected along the coastal, inland lakes and beach front areas of Eastern Visayas and Eastern Bicol Region beginning Saturday morning onwards. Extreme damage is likely on this type of storm surge. Danger from Rip Currents or Rip Tides can be expected along the beach-front areas of Surigao del Norte, Rest of Visayas, Ragay Gulf, Visayan Sea and Eastern Luzon. (click here to know more about Storm Surge).
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today...2100 GMT...Dec 05.
Classification/Name: STY Hagupit (Ruby)
Location: Over central part of the Philippine Sea (near 11.6N 129.9E)
About: 455 km east-northeast of Siargao Island...or 490 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 250 kph near the center...Gustiness: 305 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 150 to 500 mm [Heavy to Extreme]
Minimum Central Pressure: 914 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 1,005 km (Medium)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): 140 km from the Center
Past Movement: West-Northwest @ 18 kph
Forecast Movement: West @ 11 kph
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
STY Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to move westward throughout the outlook period. On the forecast track, STY Hagupit (Ruby) will be traversing the west-central part of the Philippine Sea and moving closer to the coast of Eastern Samar by Saturday...crossing the southern part of Samar Island through Sunday early morning.
STY Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to continue losing strength throughout the outlook period as it interacts with the cool dry air of the Northeast Monsoon. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 215 kph by Sunday early morning.
The following is the 3-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
SATURDAY EARLY MORNING: Maintains its weakening phase while moving slowly across the Philippine Sea...about 250 km east of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [5AM DEC 06: 11.7N 127.7E @ 220kph].
SUNDAY EARLY MORNING: Downgraded into a Typhoon after making landfall along the southern coast of Eastern Samar...about 35 km west of Borongan City, Eastern Samar [5AM DEC 07: 11.6N 125.1E @ 215kph].
MONDAY EARLY MORNING: Continues to weaken as it turns to west-northwest...traversing along the southern edge of Masbate towards Romblon...about 25 km east-southeast of Romblon [5AM DEC 08: 12.5N 122.5E @ 195kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Fri Dec 05, 2014
Location of Eye: Near 11.6º N Lat 129.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 465 km ENE of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Distance 2:535 km ENE of Tacloban City
Distance 3: 670 km ENE of Metro Cebu
Distance 4: 645 km SE of Virac, Catanduanes
Distance 5: 6905 km ESE of Legazpi City
CURRENT TRACKING MAP:
CURRENT NOAA/MTSAT-2 INFRARED (IR) SATELLITE IMAGE:
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this update visit the ff:
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Posted by: "Typhoon2000.com (Michael V. Padua)" <T2Kstormupdates@gmail.com>
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